Wednesday 14 February, 2018
1 A week ago Newspoll had journalists standing on their heads blowing their collective socks off with a poll that had the Coalition within 4 points of catching up with Labor. Why, everyone was asking. They have started the year just as badly just as badly as the left of the last.
And why am I writing about Barnaby Joyce yet again? Well, the answer is simple. I want to see if our library of pictures of him run out. No, the truth is that his hypocrisy now matches that of Turnbull’s.
This week we have Essential repeating its now fortnightly poll, with Labor 8 points ahead of the Coalition. Because it is a rolling poll (half stay in and half go out) it has more than likely caught up with the Barnaby Joyce affair.
Now it will be interesting to see if Barnaby’s mischief has the same effect next Monday and with three to go for Judgement Day on the Prime Minister just what words of disdain the Abbott might have for Turnbull.
Another thing to remember with Essential is that respondents who select ‘don’t know’ are not included in the results. The two-party preferred estimate is calculated by distributing the votes of the other parties according to their preferences at the 2016 election. So it only picks up the fairdinkum voters at this stage of the cycle.
Federal voting intention
Preferred Prime Minister
Company tax cut
Company tax cuts and wages
Statements about Adani coal mine
Essential Research: 54-46 to Labor
No change on voting intention from Essential Research, as respondents reject the government’s stance on company tax cuts.
No change this week on Essential Research’s two-party preferred result, which shows Labor maintaining a two-party lead of 54-46, although as usual we’ll have to wait until later today for primary votes.
The pollster’s monthly leadership ratings find Malcolm Turnbull with 39% approval (up one) and 42% disapproval (down three), while Bill Shorten is on 33% approval (also up one) and 46% disapproval (also down three), and Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister is 42-47, down from 42-25 last time. As related by The Guardian, the poll finds 72% supporting company tax cuts being made conditional on pay rises; more disagreeing than agreeing that company tax cuts would lead to higher wages without prompting; most disagreeing that penalty rate cuts would encourage companies to hire more workers.
A series of questions on the proposed Adani coal mine found 48% saying it should be assessed on its economic and environmental merits, 22% saying coal mining in the Galilee basin should be banned, and 13% saying all mines should go ahead subject to environmental approvals.
2 Now it’s time to give some space to a thespian friend, Bruce Beamish. Bruce has written a critique of Monday’s Q&A.
“I watched last nights Q&A episode. It may have been perhaps better in the terms of a good flowing show if the two people on the left were not there. Tended to hog the conversation. I would have like to heard more from John Hewson.
He seems to talk with a better approach these days than when he was in Politics. Does not seem to be a big fan of short-term thinking in Politics, I can agree with him there. Nor tax cuts to the big end of town (his words).
I wished he could have got a word in on trickle down economics, that would have really got a shot into his old party.
It is difficult for them to argue with John as he is a well qualified and respected Economist. The other panelists were Terri Butler of the ALP who got little air time but was composed, considered and concise in her answers.
Liberal Senator, Linda Reynolds was left to carry the LNP can.
She tried to make a fist of it but couldn’t really, no surprise it is a bucket of shit. Then she got into politician mode and rambled on Party lines. Her other unsalable points were on the Bi- partisan committee she chairs looking at the dual citizenship issue. We got the blurb on how outdated it is and how there is no wriggle room to change it without a referendum – surprise!
How difficult it is.
Her big sales point was that if we the public wanted to enter Politics we would face the same hurdles. Again no great surprise. She then made various attempts to illicit public support for a referendum based on the premise that it would be hard for the public to get into the game as they would face the same hurdles.
Another revelation was that serving members of the Defence Force, Police service, Teachers and Nurses could be excluded from nominating and being elected. It was not stated but I presume it was because these professions could be seen a offices for profit under the Crown.
If this is the best this committee can do, they are wasting their time. When a Government can decide in a heartbeat that the work of the Uluru convention and the Uluru Statement and proposals arising from it can be dismissed because it would have no hope of getting up in a referendum.
They can however convene a Parliamentary committee to see if they can come up with a question to put to the people at a referendum ( the only way to change the Constitution) to get around the dual citizenship issue.
Do they think the public are going to be swayed by the wishy washy arguments so far to support such a notion? Do they think we are that stupid that we cannot see it is Politicians trying to save their own skins yet again? It beggars belief that so many of them ignored the rules before nominating regarding citizenship. If new entrants into the political world fall foul of the Constitution after all this they should not be there, they have disqualified themselves at the first hurdle.
To waste money on a Referendum on this question is ridiculous and shows how out of touch they really are in my opinion. We had the silly non binding plebiscite waste of money,that was bad enough. I reckon this issue will have no chance of getting up, how about putting up the question of Aboriginal recognition to the people, despite Mr Turnbull pouring cold water on the idea , I believe it would succeed.”
My thought for the day
“Never be afraid to step over the shadow of your negativity.”