Prime Minister Morrison seems to be certain that the next federal election will be in May. Cynics would suggest as Parliament is only sitting for two weeks in April, the plan is to hone their political sales pitch, pork barrel marginal electorates and parachute past or failed LNP politicians and their supporters into positions where they could potentially influence government programs and decisions into the future. It’s time to call bovine excrement on the sales pitch (because the word ‘bull****’ would trigger a significant number of internet filters).
The Climate Council is on the record as suggesting that Australia is NOT on track to meet its target of reducing carbon emissions to below 2005 levels by 2030. In addition, they note
This target is inadequate in terms of the science and Australia doing its fair share to tackle climate change. The independent Climate Change Authority recommended, in the lead up to the Paris climate talks in 2015, Australia adopt a 2030 emissions reduction target of 45-65% below 2005 levels.
Australia’s 2030 target is economy wide, meaning that Australia must reduce total greenhouse gas pollution taking into account emissions from all sectors – electricity, stationary energy, transport, fugitive emissions, industry, agriculture, waste and land use.
Morrison insists Australia will meet the target ‘in a canter’ (partial paywall), and in the last week or so announced a number of ‘measures’ to demonstrate his ‘commitment’. Given Morrison was the one handing a piece of coal around in the Parliament not that long ago and his party was the one claiming earlier this decade an emissions trading scheme would wipe out Whyalla and generate the $100 lamb roast, you really have to question the claim. Well The Saturday Paper did, (partial paywall) using evidence, and not favourably
Having seen the policy and watched Morrison’s misrepresentations of climate reality in media interviews, Tim Baxter, a fellow of the Law School and associate of the Climate and Energy College at Melbourne University, doesn’t see Australia cantering towards its climate goals. He sees a gallop. The “Gish gallop”.
For those unfamiliar with the term — as I was when Baxter used it — the Gish gallop is a rhetorical technique, named for an American creationist, Duane Gish, who employed it.
As Baxter explains: “It’s a term for when you throw out copious amounts of half-truths and baseless claims in rapid succession, knowing your opponent cannot rebut each one in the available time. It’s based on the premise that it takes vastly more effort to debunk nonsense than it takes to put it out in the first place.”
The Climate Council is a group of scientists that look at evidence, not popularity. They work in a similar way to the scientists that monitored every child born in Denmark for an 11 year period (around 650,000 people) and determined vaccination doesn’t have any effect on autism rates versus those who determine that vaccination is dangerous based on Andrew Wakefield’s UK ‘research’ using a group of
just 12 patients, [which] could not be repeated in subsequent studies, and Wakefield lost his UK medical licence after it was revealed he had conflicts of interest in the case and had falsified data.
Morrison claims he ‘stopped the boats’ and protects our ‘strong borders’. In 2011, Morrison, as a part of the then Coalition opposition (together with the Greens), blocked the ‘Malaysia Solution’ to the ‘problem’ of potential refugees sailing on unseaworthy boats with the intention of arriving on Australian soil.
In all likelihood, those new laws would have significantly deterred asylum seekers from attempting the dangerous journey by boat. Without the legislation, 591 boats brought 39,070 people to Australia from October 2011 to July 2013. Tony Abbott has since expressed some regret about his role in blocking the plan. As far as I can tell, Scott Morrison hasn’t joined him.
From the same article in The Inside Story
Nevertheless, asylum seekers are now arriving in greater numbers and at an increasing rate by the safer and cheaper means of the aeroplane. In the year ending June 2018, 27,931 people with visitor visas, the bona fides of which may be difficult to assess at points of departure to Australia, applied for protection visas, compared with the 18,365 boat arrivals who made such claims in 2012–13. The backlog of applications for protection visas at June 2018 was 177,140, and the backlog of appeals to the Administrative Appeals Tribunal has increased from 17,480 in 2016 to 52,491 in 2018.
The Inside Story goes on to argue that Morrison and Dutton’s Home Affairs Department within the Coalition government is an abuse of process, inefficient and weakens rather than strengthens the capacity of Australia to process asylum seekers claims in a humane and realistic timeframe. Most asylum seekers (who arrive by plane) are living in towns and cities around Australia waiting for their protection claims to be processed by Morrison and Dutton’s monolithic department that has to follow byzantine and inefficient policies to do the work required without adequate resourcing. Apparently the rhetoric around Home Affairs and offshore detention being the response needed for ‘border protection’ is more spin and marketing without evidence.
In both cases here, just as with other policies and practices of the current version of the Abbot/Turnbull/Morrison government, Morrison is clearly in trouble on a factual level and has to rely on bovine excrement and ‘Gish galloping’ to justify dodgy policy. Let’s call him out on it now, during the election campaign and at the ballot box.
What do you think?
This article was originally published on The Political Sword.
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It seems that the actual sitting days in April, before the election, are :
2 April – Budget, Both Chambers sit
3 April – Both Chambers sit, Senate 2/3 Cut Off on Wednesday, 3 April
4 April – House of Representatives sits, Senate Budget Estimates
5 to 7 April – Non sitting days
8 to 12 April – Senate Budget Estimates
13 to 14 April – Non sitting days
15 to 18 April – House of Representatives sits
So, there are actually only seven days when the House of Reps is sitting (2,3,4,15,16,17,18 April) during which time they expect to roll out their dodgy budget, have it passed by both Houses and then they announce an election.
I find this very strange as they are a government on the nose yet they seek to set the fiscal plan for the next twelve months, weeks before an election that will probably see them thrown out .
I am now officially sick of pointing out or even probably reading about how full of it they are. Every day a new horror. Like today – they haven’t got a clue whether they’ve actually done anything over the last 6 years in terms of a plan or action to protect endangered species. Yet still the majority of the media continue to downplay what a disaster for the nation and the planet they are. Today Scott Morrison pretends to be the friend of women trolled on social media.
On this one thing, I think Malcolm Turnbull is right. The screeching agony which is this LNP government only continues so that Scott Morrison can continue padding his bum in C1 – to revel in playing Prime Ministers like the legend in his own lunchtime he is. Bet his portrait’s in the hall before Christmas.
My guess is landmines, smoke and mirrors so that the chorus of “it’s all Labors fault” can continue from Ruperts trenches and I.P.A. bunker.
These “calm careful, and methodical adults in the room” have a plan for many years in the future, and a “climate solution”, there are invoices for many glossy pamphlets to prove this.
Today Scott Morrison pretends to be the friend of women trolled on social media.
Of course he did. Of course in the past he also said this:
Well no, first of all, but next, I’ve had plenty of mates who’ve asked me if they can be my special envoy to sort the issue out with Pamela Anderson.
Is the ” excretement” in the title deliberate or a typo? Genuine question.
It was a typo. My mistake. Thank you for correcting me. 👍
I see the spelling error.
It was meant to say Tauric Excrement because execrable bullshit was what Morrison talked for a whole half hour being interviewed by Walid Aly
Firstly, thank you for your logical and sensitive portrayal of vaccination and autism (you have an autistic reader, me). And no matter how much sandbagging the Liberals do, this election will not be theirs to win.
We’ve heard so many lies from Scummo that it is virtually impossible to give him any credibility at all after his arrogant and, frankly speaking, thuggish oaf of a performance on The Project this evening. He was so far out of his depth that I’m surprised that he didn’t try to hide in the padding of the chair he slouched in. He tried so hard to show Waleed Aly that he WAS NOT TO BE MESSED WITH and only succeeded in showing what a gormless git he really is.
Only a couple more months and it’s a short step off a high cliff for him and the rest of his gang. The daggers will be out and in his back so fast he won’t even be able mutter a suitable dying phrase before he’s carted off to the back bench graveyard with the rest of the living dead.
Does anyone remember Chris Marshall, the fast-talking piano salesman famous for his hard-sell TV ads in the 1980’s?
That’s who Scotty is channeling. Marshall was always being investigated by Consumer Affairs and he eventually fled to the Phillipines.
“As Donna and I say, have a musical day!”
Just watched the Project. Morisson is an unremediated, inveterate, shameless liar. Waleed missed the opportunity to ask him why, if there were so many rapists, paedophiles and murderers among the detainees, it has been perfectly OK to detain them with vulnerable women and children for over five years. Further, as the detention centres are now ‘open’ permitting the detainees to mix freely with the local people, why is the Australian government so unconcerned about the safety of local women and children. Do these rapist, paedophles and murders target only white people.
I noticed 2 large billboards at a prominent/busy intersection in Perth’s southern suburbs this afternoon.
ANDREW HASTIE FIGHTING FOR CANNING on an indigo background, no Liberal Party logo.
Hastie’s kisser must be on about a hundred and fifty bus stop seats in the Mandurah area. I must have had the paper equivalent of five acres of trees in my letter box. They love this creep go figure.
Hastie once wore a military uniform and pointed guns at little brown Muslim people, so when they say “Fighting for Canning…..”, …..well, you know what they mean.
Meanwhile Scotty went on TV tonight to scold and berate a little brown Muslim person, so its business as usual.
The Morrison “interview” (more a lecture) with Waleed Aly made him seem more like Trump than usual – full of boasts and inconsistencies and gave the impression of more dishonesty than usual. His habit of constantly talking and trying to avoid the real questions has never been more evident.
As for his claims of constant compassion and empathy for Muslims, there was no mention of his objection to allowing family members to attend the funerals of those who drowned at Christmas Island.
His suggestion that “a number” of detained rapists and pedophiles (somewhere between 1 and 50 and then rising to around 60) would be “turned loose” in Australia for medical attention was a deliberate lie. It’s already been explained that all detainees would be kept in constant custody throughout.
It’s too late for him to stop the dog whistling. The dogs are already here and many of them are in his own Party.
Also trying to take credit for spending more to address violence against women ignores the cuts he previously made in that area.
Same old story but with a bit more desperation, arrogance and absolutely no humility.
PM said the crimes of rape, murder & who knows were committed on Manus. If so, why have they not been charged, locked up, taken to court? Why are they allowed to roam freely among the people? When cornered, said one was one too many in gotcha motion. I am sure if the police arrested anyone, it would be all over MSM.
Florence Howarth, remember Paladin and you will find your answer.
Terence, why be surprised. The lnp are doing everything they can to make the job of governing and implementing policy for the alp as difficult as possible. Should the lnp win the election they will rapidly implement howard’s non-core promise strategy, revert to type in relation to wages, welfare, support for the wealthy, and lack of understanding, commitment to, and action on climate change – all down as the good christian people they are. Note there are many good and wonderful people who are Christian and live by its principles, but the lnp are not among them.
Scotty is now spruiking the “Fast Train for Regional Australia” gimmick.
Don’t forget that Scummo and Friedeggburger have discovered billions of magic leprechaun dollars to splash about in their desperate attempt to make the voters like them. It’s, as always, just a pile of promises for things that will happen years up the time stream.
You can bet these clowns (L/NP) will have a whole bunch of nasty cost cutting policies ready to roll if they win the next election. These fools have form, are not to be trusted. Braven chancers all.
@Michael Taylor: I dunno, that “bovine excrement” correctly describes most publicity releases from the Prim Monster.
Taurus Excretus was how something was summarised the other day, and I certainly think it applies here.
More cowardly weasel words from The Scummo.
He doesn’t want to upset Hanson by calling her what she is because he will need to do a preference deal with her horrid little gang.
I’m also beginning to think that he’s going to leave off calling the election for as long as he can in the utterly vain hope that things will improve for the Largely Nazsty Party. Good luck with that Scummo.
Waleed Aly was quite correct to push Morrison on the scaremongering about alleged rapists, murderers and pedophiles on Manus.
Had these offences been committed as claimed, the PNG Constabulary would have sought to charge and convict those responsible : they haven’t and neither have we.
The only rape investigation at the Manus detention centre was foiled by Morrison and Dutton when they refused to return three Australian guards employed by Wilson Security who were alleged to have raped a woman at the detention centre.