Scenario 3 in Indo Pacific Futures 2051: Reaching for Aquarius
Denis Bright continues discussion of three scenarios for the future of Australia’s international relations in 2051.
Scenario 3 offers the prospect of more substantial paradigm changes. Let’s explore the New Fifth Dimension (NFD) in global democratic politics.
A lot of progressive activism will be required to change the status quo and to deter the ships of state from potential conflicts unless fair consideration is given to the current Draft Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons which is anathema to all nuclear powers and their allies.
The US mid-term elections of 2018 brought a revolt against the excesses of Donald Trump. With its income divide comparable to Mexico and indeed China, the US electorate was ready to embrace New Social Justice Commitment to make Capitalism Work Again.
The depth of political change was comparable to Mikhail Gorbachev’s commitment to glasnost (openness) and perestroika (restructuring) in the old Soviet Union.
In the US, Bernie Sanders remained the patron of the New Social Justice Commitment. It had attracted youthful and charismatic new generation of grassroots leaders who were popularized in the media as the New Fifth Dimension (NFD).
NFD was active in the Democratic Party. It demanded accountability and democratic processes over traditional machinery politics.
The NFD was linked to thousands of US nationwide beats in music bars, coffee shops and mainstream religious networks. Similar trends caught on in the megacities of the Indo Pacific Region. The NFD was welcomed in China to ease social tensions.
NFD avoided the narcissistic focus of the counter-cultural movement in the 1960s. Too much opting out of macro-political participation had enabled far-right leaders like President Nixon to make the world safer for market capitalism and military industrial complexes world-wide. Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher would achieve similar results a decade later.
The NFD combined having fun with the institutional renewal of progressive politics through mass mobilization, commitment to sustainable economic, cultural awareness involvement, spiritual awakening and of course peaceful international relations.
In Australia, NFD has a big influence in institutional renewal in the Labor Party which achieved control of both houses in the new Australian Republic through a return to a viable two-party system.
From its former position as a nuclear umbrella state within the US Global Alliance, Australia had decided to act with New Zealand (NZ) to:
- Control visits by vessels and aircrafts carrying nuclear weapons through Australian ports and air-fields
- Negotiate with ASEAN Countries to our Near North to prevent the movement of nuclear weapons between the Pacific and Indian Oceans
- To encourage similar initiatives to de-nuclearize sea lanes in East Asia in return for the abandonment of nuclear testing in North Korea
- To support initiatives in the General Assembly to further the progress of the Draft Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons and other Weapons of Mass Destruction
- To facilitate strong Security Council sanctions on countries persisting with the spread of nuclear weapons and existing and experimental weapons of mass destruction
The momentum for progressive change had become unstoppable as national politics across the region were no longer dominated by preparations for war.
NZ’s Labour/Green Alliance under the new leadership of Jacinda Ardern made substantial gains at the 2017 elections.
Australia moved in a similar direction in 2018 due to the excesses of Donald Trump’s administration and the inability of the federal LNP to stand up for Australian sovereignty within the New Coalition.
In reaching towards the New Aquarius, substantial consensus had been achieved between indigenous, traditional, modernist and progressive political values in Australia.
In the traditions of Human Rights Commissioner Gillian Triggs, a complete reaction to the old politics of elitism assisted in fueling the paradigm changes in both domestic politics and international relations.
Global spending through global military industrial complexes had exceeded $US 2 trillion for Twenty Year War on Terrorism (2001-21). This co-existed with appalling poverty and malnutrition levels from Yemen to PNG.
The political priorities of the NFD were not particularly radical. Its US mentors merely advocated social market concepts within a mixed economy run on established continental European models along with vast reductions in military spending.
Chance opportunities for dialogue were seized upon to develop NFD solutions to global diplomatic problems as once advocated by President Alexander Dubcek during the Prague Spring of 1968 at the height of the earlier counter-cultural movements.
North Korean defector and artist Sun Mu noted the North Korean Disney Musical in 2012 soon after the accession of Kim Jong-Un might have been a missed opportunity for dialogue with President Obama.
Another opportunity was the representation of both Korean States, the US and Australia with most other countries in the Indo-Pacific Region including Israel at the Silk Road Forum in Beijing in May 2017.
Then came the opportunity for representatives of North Korea and the US to meet at the ministerial meeting of the Association of South Asia Nations (ASEAN) in Manila in August 2017. Both countries are associate members of ASEAN.
As a responsible middle power, Australia demonstrated true flexibility.
After vigorous internal debate within the Australian Labor Government in 2019, Prime Minister Bill Shorten accepted the broad terms of the Draft Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons. Britain, France, Canada and Japan also reversed their initial opposition. The US eventually followed. Bans on nuclear weapons and other weapons of mass destruction were made illegal under international law.
Ratification Day for the new Treaty is a global national holiday and there is no looking back to the Twenty-Year War on Terrorism as a real solution to anything but ongoing conflict and suffering from human rights abuses in places like Yemen and Saudi Arabia which had once been excused in the interests of political stability.
Denis Bright (pictured) is a registered teacher and a member of the Media, Entertainment and Arts Alliance (MEAA). Denis has recent postgraduate qualifications in journalism, public policy and international relations. He is interested in promoting discussion to evaluate pragmatic public policies that are compatible with contemporary globalization.
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12 commentsLogin here Register here
The future can be bright! Thanks for sharing this positive and achievable solution!
Never under estimate the value small change can have on the wider society and our planet!
Change the way you look at things and the things you look at will change…seek the good in those around us and encourage positivity.
Everyone has a roll to play in bringing us towards the new paradigm. Don’t be stuck on past losses, regrets or short comings, they are behind us. Focus on the new opportunities ahead.
A more hopeful future for Australia as a non-aligned country like Australia and Ireland .
To achieve this status , Australians will need to survive the Trump Presidency.
Denis, thanks for this thought provoking article on our global political situation. Let’s hope for a positive and progressive outcome.
Great article Denis, hopefully most of your predictions will come to fruition. However the Hyman race is very warlike & conflict will always be present in our world. I wonder how far we will have progressed with the journey to Mars.
Thanks for your dedicated thought provoking articles , always a great read
Aquarius won’t just arrive or come through hours of watching mainstream news bulletins. It requires activism when mainstream society promotes the value of a quiet and non-political suburban. Perhaps change needs a new direction in the planning of our cities and regions. Great ideas for change.
Thanks for this peaceful alternatives Denis. A better future is possible.
Looking forward to a positive future, but learning the lessons of the past is crucial. Let’s not forget to the people without a voice.
Thanks for highlighting the plight of the people of Yemen- it would be a different story if the same sufferings were seen in the West.
In the words of Tom Jones…war what is it good for?..,
War helps keep unstable leaders like Donald Trump in office with the assistance of quisling states who know that he is spilling nasty rhetoric on troubled situations in an effort to gain a place in history. So why do canny leaders like Macron in France go along with such antics when when constituents want peaceful outcomes? Fortunately New Zealanders are not so impressed and hopefully NZ opposition to militarism will spread to Australia where news networks lstill ove to focus on free clips provided by the military of US troops arriving in Darwin or tours of nuclear powered aircraft carriers. Sometimes out LNP leaders almost want to critise Trump but then they hold back and try to moderate his tirades.
Great comments Jack!
Australia is economically half the size of both France and Britain.
The article suggests that we should be more independent through peaceful regional associations with China and nearby Asian and Pacific countries like NZ ,Fiji, PNG and Timor.
Good comment, Jack. World leaders are trying to tame the comments from Donald Trump which are not helping behind the scenes negotiations. The LNP is not helping in Australia with its reflexive public support for Trump. Julie Bishop probably has a more tolerant approach using the moderating resources of DFAT.