Monday, May 20 2019
“Having the ability to admit that you are wrong is an absolute prerequisite to discernment and knowledge.’ “We would be a much better society if we took the risk of thinking for ourselves unhindered by the unadulterated crap served up by the media and self-interest groups.” (John Lord)
1) Sunday, May 19 2019
During the course of writing in my diary over the past five weeks, l confidently predicted that the baseball bats would be at the front door ready to punish the Coalition for the crimes they committed against our democracy. Nothing l saw or heard during the campaign warranted a change in my view. How wrong I was!
The reasoned recipe of my prediction was based on a list of common sense ingredients, not hearsay or a gift for picking winners. I simply asked myself if it were really possible that after six years of a deplorable government that the good people of Australia would reward the incumbent government with another three.
I also said that Labor would win handsomely. It just made common sense to me. How wrong I was!
As I lay my head on my pillow Sunday night l gave thanks to THE AIMN who have made it possible for me to express my feelings and that they have been read by so many.
I had hoped to say that at last, we have finally rid the country of the putrid smell of a do-nothing Ministry full of ultra-right-wing homophobes, climate deniers and women hating fools. How wrong I was!
Now it has come to pass that on the 18th day of our Lord in the year of 2019 the good people of Australia in their infinite wisdom have given license to the worst government the country has ever known to continue their mediocre governance. How wrong I was!
2) In reaching my point of view l took into account the logic of the following:
- Labor has Hardly lost a poll in three years, even longer.
- Individual seat polling has always been notoriously wrong because of the low numbers.
- Labor only lost by a seat the last election.
- Redistribution nominally gives Labor another two seats.
- Coalition starts from behind.
- Winning a third term is rare losing a second is also rare.
- Three Leaders in six years is highly negative.
- Early-voting numbers despite the convenience factor would indicate a predisposition for bringing out the baseball bats.
- You cannot dismiss the protest results of the recent Victorian election and the success of Dr Phelps.
- The increase in young new voters since the gay marriage survey.
- Popularity or otherwise of a leader means nothing. Who do you intend voting for is the more pertinent question?
- The bookies are rarely wrong.
- Bob Hawkes death would insinuate itself onto some voters. Dreams of good governance long paste.
- Something is fundamentally wrong with the methodology of the polling.
How wrong I was!
3) In looking for reasons as to why the conservatives won I cannot see where my thinking is at fault. Maybe I have simply misjudged the nation’s capacity to understand even the simplest conception for change. Although change is a constant in life it tends to scare people. Change is certainly a challenging concept.
”We dislike and resist change in the foolish assumption that we can make permanent that which makes us feel secure. Yet change is, in fact, part of the very fabric of our existence” (John Lord)
I have also underestimated the nation’s capacity for selfishness in that the word tax seems to have frightened the hell out of them.
And as for women well the punters didn’t seem to mind that we will now have but a few trying to Advance Australia fair. Women just don’t seem to matter much to conservatives.
Then it was confirmed to me that Queensland is indeed a very strange place. UnAustralian and bizarre.
I also learnt that taking three months off every year on full pay could be rewarded with a positive swing in your vote. I have no idea how it works but an increased vote is nothing to squib.
It came as no great shock to me that as far as disunity and infighting is concerned that it can be a great advantage. It can actually win an election for you.
You could even conclude that Scott Morrison actually managed to erase the past with one of those miracles he believes in. Did performance even matter?
Who knows we might even see a few ex PMs raised from the dead. Scott tells us that Hell exists, as do miracles and he plans to look after religious freedoms. Another miracle.
There were so many things that made this election very special, even weird. For example, scare campaigns do actually work. This election proves it. There were so many of them from the conservatives that at least a few had too. (Death taxes.) (Everything became a tax even when it wasn’t.)
It became apparent to me early on that Murdoch still matters. I underestimated that.
“The purpose of propaganda is to make you feel good about the wrongs being perpetrated on you.” (John Lord)
And of course, Palmer’s money mattered to Morrison. Only time will tell if there is a payback.
The greatest controversy in this result is undoubtedly how the pollsters could be so far out and for such a length of time.
The National Party learnt a thing or two. Mostly they have learned that doing nothing for six years has its rewards and they can go back to sleep now. Doing nothing guarantees success in the bush.
When we look at the votes on an age basis we found that most conservative votes came from the over 65’s cohort. Coincidently they are the most scare-able.
Another thing that occurred to me is that conservatives still don’t rate the issue of women very highly and there may be fewer women in this cabinet than previous ones.
But gender still matters, does it not. It’s a bit like positivity. It’s nice to have but negativity works better.
I have left until almost last the Bill Shorten factor and it may be fair to say that he bit off more than he could chew. His policies could have changed the face of the nation but the changes were so complex that people didn’t understand and became scared of them.
These and others are the issues we have to carefully way up before judging the miracle that has occurred.
All in all, there is no mandate for the coalition to do anything but govern. Altogether it has been rather disappointing for progressive Australians like myself and those who read my work.
Power will still be in the hands of the wealthy elite (yes class exists) until such time as the people grow some guts and stop being so bloody scared.
“Meritocracy is a term used to imply that those at the top of the social scale have merit and a slur against those at the bottom.” (John Lord)
My thought for the day
“I don’t mind the criticism but please don’t do it on an empty head.” (John Lord)
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