Tuesday 16 May 2017
1 The Crickey Poll bludger analysis of voter intention shows that:
Last week’s Essential Poll had Labor leading the Government 54/46 pre-budget.
Reach TEL polls post-budget had Labor 53/47
Both Newspoll and IPSOS have Labor 53/47
All would indicate that there has been little immediate change on voting intention in the wake of last week’s budget.
So what are we to make of this? Well, the IPSOS poll showed a 2% rise in the Coalition’s fortunes. Other than that voters gave the thumbs up to the four major initiatives (Labor policies) that the Government put forward. Did the punters factor in that Labor owned them?
”The four measures tested with voters were a tax increase for Australia’s five largest banks, a 0.5 per cent rise in the Medicare levy linked to funding the National Disability Insurance Scheme, an $18.6 billion, 10-year increase in school funding and a boost to infrastructure spending funded by a larger national debt.”
On education; ”A thumping 86 per cent of all voters supported the policy, with just 12 per cent opposed. Broken down according to party allegiances, 87 per cent of Coalition voters backed the extra spending, while 90 per cent of Labor voters and 91 per cent of Greens voters backed it.”
Now we can all theorise about what all this means and it is but an insight into what the punters are thinking at the time. Therefore, my thoughts on what the polls are saying, and more generally what the populace is reflecting on, is just an opinion.
For me, and based on many years of experience, is the notion that once the rot sets in for a political party it becomes incredibly difficult to shake it off. Now it may also be right that those in the middle ground couldn’t care less about who delivers the polices, so long as they are to their liking. Have the punters stoped listening to the Prime Minister?
However in this case, I believe, supported by the polls is that the electorate have made a judgement on the Government. Firstly, they have concluded that the Abbott Government was a do nothing Government who achieved nothing and his constant commentary on a non-existent legacy constantly reminds them of his negativity.
Secondly, they believe that they were duped by Turnbull into thinking he was something he wasn’t and have regretted it ever since. His hypocrisy and lying now matches that of Abbott.
Thirdly, they understand that the measures proposed in this budget belong to Labor and that they are getting the conservative Clayton’s version of socialism.
Fourthly, they see that both the Liberal and National parties, by demonstration, have no policies of their own and are bankrupt of ideas.
Fifthly, they also see that the Government is prepared to surrender the basic tenants of its ideology to retain power. By adopting Labor policies in the absence of any of their own they have proven beyond doubt that, first and foremost, they are a party of self-interest.
I don’t think I have ever seen a party so obstinately betray its own ideology and deliver a socialist budget. However lite.
Some might say that it’s just smart politics. Over time the polls will contract and Labor will be forced further to the left. Make no mistake: this budget was as much about the remaking of Malcolm as anything else.
Which all brings me to my question: what if after the budget Shorten had taken a different tack? There is no doubt, (and I cannot fathom why Labor never anticipated it) that Labor got caught with its pants down and decided to take, in my view, the negative ”No no, no, they’re not our policies approach”.
”Our policies are the real deal because they spring from our values. They weren’t cooked-up in a panic to try to neutralise a political liability. And the great irony of this budget is that while it doesn’t measure up to our values – it doesn’t keep faith with Coalition values either” (Bill Shorten).
Sure, Shorten’s Budget in Reply speech outlined a litany of coalition blunders, but who was watching?
My point again is, what if he had ripped into them with the truth of it. That they were so bankrupt of ideas that they had to pinch Labor’s, but even then they couldn’t bring themselves to go the whole way. What a bunch of liars and hypocrites they are. After telling us for years that it was only by cutting spending that we could get the budget back in the black. Yes four years of achieving absolutely nothing.
After lying to the public that everything was Labor’s fault because of the debt they left and then without any qualms doubled it. After denying Gonski and equality of opportunity in education and rubbishing Gonski at the time they drag the good man out and pretend that he had done it all for them.
For heaven’s sake, Christopher Pyne, as Education Minister didn’t think his report worthy of reading. What a disaster of a cabinet. Not a decent one among them.
This Prime Minister should be in the Olympic diving team given his expertise in backflips. After wasting four years of our countries progress he has denied the existence of Climate Change by not giving it a mention in the budget.
It’s so typical of the Liberals to abandon their ideology for the sake of its own self-interest. And now totality against their own philosophy they want to fund the NDIS, a policy Shorten was largely responsible for.
Anyway I think you get the gist of what I’m saying. It’s a response I think that might have resonated with the punters more than the approach Shorten elected to take. One that might have painted the government as a hopeless, do nothing, policy bankrupt, a government prepared to plagiarise its opponent’s policies in order to stay in power. And that’s the truth of it.
For me that effect would have a more repetitive ring to it than sort of half agreeing at the margins. They could shout it all the way to the next election, next budget included. Any way as usual your thoughts are appreciated.
”Power is a malevolent possession when you are prepared to forgo your principles and your country’s wellbeing for the sake of it”
2 Amnesty International has released expert analysis of photos and video from the Good Friday incident that directly contradicts the official account.
Will he get away with it?
Dutton said the riot was sparked over concerns that a Manusian boy had been able to enter the centre where he was given fruit.
”I think there was concern about why the boy was being led, or for what purpose he was being led, away back into the regional processing centre.”
3 American Express have paid no tax in Australia for the past 9 years.
4 Remember the Liberal Party’s debt truck? Well as Warren Snowdon from the Northern Territory interjected, now it’s a road train. Australia is now heading towards nearly three-quarters of a trillion dollars in debt under this Government. Yet they still have $65 billion in spare change to give away to multinational corporations.
My thought for the day.
“When the PM champions innovation is he doing so only for capitalism’s sake?”
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