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Day to Day Politics: The latest is that …

Tuesday 17 October 2017

1 The latest is that Tony Abbott does want his job back. According to Mark Kenny Abbott said on the Ray Hadley show yesterday that “a future return to the leadership was possible but would occur only if he was drafted by colleagues, which he described as “almost impossible to imagine”.

“Tony Abbott has fired a telling shot across Malcolm Turnbull’s bow, warning that any energy package agreed to in cabinet must also pass a partyroom wary of anything approaching a clean energy target or other subsidy scheme for renewables.”

The impertinence of the man, after proving to the country that he is the greatest liar in the history of Australian politics (among other things) he has the effrontery to offer himself up as Prime Minister of Australia.

He must take the prize for being Australia’s greatest alter ego. To believe that the Australian people would take him back after all he has done to destroy our democracy is, to say the least, simply astonishing.

I think I will sit this one out by saying; “Surely, he cannot be serious.”

So try these words from Sarah Gill. Commenting on Tony Abbott’s London Speech Sarah Gill writing for The Sydney Morning Herald had this to say:

“Abbott manages to weave his passion for coal, border security and “moral order” with a loathing for environmentalists and marriage equality, but it doesn’t take him long to seize upon the issue du-jour – the “breakdown of public trust” – and pronounce, without a hint of irony, that it’s all down to leaders who blame everyone but themselves.
Thus, dispensing with the last vestiges of veracity, to say nothing of the opportunity for genuine self-reflection, Abbott goes on to lament to a posse of UK climate sceptics the lack of evidence-based policy and intellectual rigour pervading the current political discourse. Sigmund Freud would have had a field day.”

2 The first Newspoll result from The Australian in three weeks has Labor’s two-party lead unchanged at 54-46, from primary votes of Coalition 36% (steady), Labor 37% (down one), Greens 10% (up one) and One Nation 9% (up one). Malcolm Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister has narrowed slightly, from 42-31 to 41-33, and he has taken a knock on his personal ratings, with approval down three to 32% and disapproval up four to 56%. Bill Shorten is respectively steady on 33%, and up two to 55%. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1583.

At this point in time, this Newspoll is highly significant. The longevity of Labor’s lead is a worry for the Coalition and is also a fair indication that the electorate is pissed off with the Government. But really, who would blame them? The Coalition is now six percentage points below where they were at the last election.

This is now the 21st consecutive poll to Labor since the last election. Fast approaching that magic number.

Back in June I remember senior people in both parties saying they are working towards being campaign ready by June or July next year, suggesting that we are headed for an election in August or September of next year.

As I recall, this was because of a logjam of fixed-date state elections in 2018 and early 2019, and a constitutional requirement for senators who were elected to half-terms at last year’s double dissolution election to face voters again.

3 On Thursday the employment figures will be released and it is expected that another 25,000 jobs will have been created. This a good thing but the fact remains that for every job available 17 people stand in the line of hope. Just what affect the closure of our car industry will have will filter through in due course.

4 With a month to decision day we are reaching the pointy end of the Marriage Equality survey. The question of course is who will win. Most of the polls give it to the YES vote by a healthy margin. Roy Morgan ran a snap poll and it gives us a snapshot of what the likely outcome will be. According to their stats, it’s a resounding Yes, with 61.5 per cent of Australians in favour and just 17.5 per cent voting No. The $122 million postal survey will close in less than a month, and with more than 62 per cent of Australians having returned their vote, the final outcome looks like being a big win for the YES vote.

More than 80 per cent of 18-24-year-olds have voted Yes, with that figure dropping to 70 per cent for 25-34 years and 69.5 per cent for 35-49 years.
When it comes to the 50-64 year category, 52 per cent have voted Yes and only 48.5 per cent of Australians older than 65 years supported same-sex marriage.

The survey closes on November 7, with the ABS to reveal the results on November 15.

5 Given Barnaby Joyce is found to have had dual citizenship and it was his responsibility to know about it, it would require a by-election which he would probably win. However, it would be interesting if Labor were to deny pairs while Joyce was absent from the parliament for three months.

My thought for the day

“Commitment to the use of critical reason, factual evidence, and scientific methods of inquiry, rather than faith and mysticism, is the best way of providing solutions to human problems.”

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20 comments

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  1. Möbius Ecko

    So unsurprisingly, Turnbull has caved into Abbott and the far right, as he always does.

    No CET, but worse, it seems the government’s new energy policy will make it compulsory for energy companies to offset every joule of renewable energy with an equivalent of base load fossil fuel energy. All subsidies to the renewable sector will be removed to create a level playing field, but I bet my last dollar subsidies to the fossil fuel sector won’t be removed.

  2. Ella miller

    He may as well be PM. Looking at IPA’s wish list given to Abbott when PM..it would be interesting to see how many implemented. The LNP talk about the shadowy union figures and the ALP..WELL JUST LOOK AT the shadowy LNP vested interests directing policy. SICKENING. We did not elect the IPA to govern us.

  3. Jan

    It’s Alan Jones who is pulling Tony Abbott’s strings.There is a strange love affair going on between those 2.

  4. Kaye Lee

    Actually it was the 21st poll in a row and Lateline made an interesting observation last night. Tony times his undermining bombshells to always come out on the Tuesday or Wednesday before the poll is taken on the Thursday to Sunday. It is absolutely deliberate, a point even Malcolm Turnbull confirmed in response to a question at a presser.

  5. Roswell

    I noticed that too, Kaye.

    I hope John doesn’t mind, but I just corrected it.

  6. Lord John

    Your such a caring man Roswell.

  7. Roswell

    Yes, I hope he doesn’t get Jacked-off.

  8. helvityni

    I don’t know what’s happening in the world, have the evil forces put something harmful in our drinking water, that’s the only way I can explain the Abbott phenomenon…we have been poisoned…

    Watching the Hillary Clinton interview ,I could see that with all her shortcomings she would still have been miles ahead of Trump as America’s President… maybe their water has also been meddled with… 🙂

    Time for the Sanders’, Corbyns and Shortens to take the reins…at least we could have a Tim Fisher and no Barnabys…

  9. Lord John

    Roswell you should check you local Urban dictionary regarding that terminology.Maybe he does !

  10. Kyran

    This is the bit I don’t get.
    “To believe that the Australian people would take him back after all he has done to destroy our democracy is, to say the least, simply astonishing.”
    As most are aware, the Australian people do note choose their ‘leader’, the ‘leader’s party’ does. Malcolm decided, presumably with the backing of the LNP/IPA/Murdoch cabal, that 30 bad polls was sufficient cause for a change. So change they did.
    The only opportunity for the Australian voter to have a say in the change was an election. How did that go for Malcolm? I guess we’ll have to wait for the judgement of the HC for that saga to play out in full.
    Based on the Malcolm/LNP/IPA/Murdoch cabal rules, he’s got another nine bad polls to go before the ‘sufficient cause’ trigger gets pulled gain. Presumably, whatever git they put in the chair will seek a honeymoon period before calling a further election. Fixed state elections notwithstanding.
    The bit that I don’t get? If 30 polls is an acceptable standard for ‘them’ to change their ‘leader’, how is it acceptable for the Australian voter to be saddled with a government that has now had over 50 bad polls in a row? Their game of musical chairs, played to a discordant funeral march (the only ‘melody’ ideology can produce), has led to a policy paralysis that has now been playing for more than four years. 50 bad polls, no policy, no vision, and an unending conversation about the likely demise of these two fools.
    Another bit I don’t get is this little yapper, Tony.
    Back in 2015, whilst PM, our intrepid little Aussie battler (on a salary of $500k, with unlimited ‘expense’ entitlements and questionable gifts of scholarships and jobs for his daughters), revealed he was still recovering from having to refinance his mortgage in 2008 (not declared until 2010), due to a pay cut after being ditched from his then ministry.
    ““I’m someone who has over the years felt a bit of mortgage stress,” said Abbott. “Even as a cabinet minister sometimes it’s hard to pay a Sydney mortgage and I know over the years I’ve earned a lot more than the average person.
    “So the Abbott family certainly understands what it’s like to have a mortgage. We still have a mortgage – like so many Australians – and I’ve got three daughters, all of whom at some point soon either are getting into the housing market or are looking to get into the housing market.””

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2015/jun/10/tony-abbott-describes-his-own-mortgage-stress-to-defend-joe-hockey

    And now our intrepid little Aussie battler is ‘doing it tough’, again. He must be. How can he possibly cope on a mere backbencher’s salary, even with ex-PM expense entitlements? His sole responsibility is to represent his constituents, who have been polled as overwhelmingly supporting things like marriage equality and climate change action.
    The bit that I don’t get? What was he doing in London advocating against the wishes of his constituents? Presumably he was not there as a lowly backbencher, and you cannot get much lower than this little yapper. Was he there in the performance of his ‘job’ with the Washington Speakers Bureau? Who paid? If he was a paid speaker, does he have to declare his additional income? To what extent was his trip subsidized by an overly generous entitlement system?
    Why isn’t there more focus on this little yappers ‘motivation’, which goes to the very heart of his existence, and less focus on his irrelevant utterances?
    And there’s this from Mr Julian Burnside.
    On Sunday 15 October 2017, the Wheeler Centre put on a day of ideas at Melbourne Town Hall. The first session was called Questions for the Nation.
    Here’s my contribution:
    “Is democracy still working?”

    Questions for the Nation

    As always, it’s a good read. In it, he quotes from the preamble to the American Declaration of Independence.
    “When in the Course of human events, it becomes necessary for one people to dissolve the political bands which have connected them with another, and to assume among the powers of the earth, the separate and equal station to which the Laws of Nature and of Nature’s God entitle them, a decent respect to the opinions of mankind requires that they should declare the causes which impel them to the separation.
    –We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.
    –That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed,
    –That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness. …”
    It’s sad to note that Australia has no bill of rights. And we are yet to declare our own Independence day. And the terms under which it will be declared.
    Ok, rant over. Hopefully Mr Lord and readers will accept it as in keeping with the article rather than an unwanted distraction. At a time when we, as a nation, are in desperate need of leaders, we have this incessant discussion about wannabe’s of no substance.
    Thank you Mr Lord and commenters. Take care

  11. Rossleigh

    Mm, does anyone else remember Kevin Rudd saying that there’d be no further leadership challenges, but refusing to “rule out being drafted by colleagues”?

  12. John Lord

    I have read two sources . One at 20 another 21.

  13. Michael Taylor

    It might as well be 51, John. Turnbull would still say he’s doing a great job.

  14. helvityni

    Do not worry, John Lord, one of the ABC presenters said yesterday that our electricity bills have gone up by 40% in the last decade, on another program ( news?) we were told it was up 60%, then I read somewhere that it was 67%. Anyhow, going up rapidly, seems to be the message… 🙂

  15. Kronomex

    Of course the Mad Monk has wanted the leadership (snort) and PM’s job back since Malcolm of the Turncoat stabbed him in the back. That’s all he’s wanted, everything else is just a side issue.

  16. Möbius Ecko

    Well the government’s new energy policy is the bees knees, the best of all worlds, instantly solving all our energy problems in one hit, just ask Julie Bishop, she’s been gushing over it all day.

    The only problem with this policy is Labor, and this is the cruncher, proving yet again it’s not a thought through policy but a Labor wedge, Labor must be bipartisan in supporting this policy or else Australia will collapse into darkness this summer.

    Tell me, how come whenever the Liberals call for bipartisanship, it means the opposition caving into every bit of the Liberal’s policy without question or scrutiny? Whenever Labor calls for bipartisanship, it means the Liberals get to call the shots and demand Labor change the policy or the world will collapse tomorrow.

    The Liberals have a strange concept of compromise.

    By the way, this is now the fourth policy within the last week or so that I’ve seen the Liberals demand Labor support 100% without question otherwise any failure or hardship will be their fault and Australian society will collapse in a heap.

  17. OPPOSE THE MAJOUR PARTIES

    its a pro coal policy.

  18. diannaart

    Abbott wants his job back and does not give a flying fork what he does or who he breaks to get it.

  19. Möbius Ecko

    Finkel on ABC News right now singing the praises of the government’s new energy policy.

  20. OPPOSE THE MAJOUR PARTIES

    hevityni. “Time for the Sanders’, Corbyns and Shortens to take the reins”. shorten is no corbyn. shorten is more like blair macron or trudeau…Corbyn is a radical, a genuine socialist while shorten is a sell out centreleft flip flop chardonay swilling laborist who owes his career to jesuit freemason connections. comparing shorten to corbyn is an insult to corbyn and genuine socialists. the only thing that stands between the alp and electoral victory is shorten.

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