Tuesday 17 October 2017
1 The latest is that Tony Abbott does want his job back. According to Mark Kenny Abbott said on the Ray Hadley show yesterday that “a future return to the leadership was possible but would occur only if he was drafted by colleagues, which he described as “almost impossible to imagine”.
“Tony Abbott has fired a telling shot across Malcolm Turnbull’s bow, warning that any energy package agreed to in cabinet must also pass a partyroom wary of anything approaching a clean energy target or other subsidy scheme for renewables.”
The impertinence of the man, after proving to the country that he is the greatest liar in the history of Australian politics (among other things) he has the effrontery to offer himself up as Prime Minister of Australia.
He must take the prize for being Australia’s greatest alter ego. To believe that the Australian people would take him back after all he has done to destroy our democracy is, to say the least, simply astonishing.
I think I will sit this one out by saying; “Surely, he cannot be serious.”
So try these words from Sarah Gill. Commenting on Tony Abbott’s London Speech Sarah Gill writing for The Sydney Morning Herald had this to say:
“Abbott manages to weave his passion for coal, border security and “moral order” with a loathing for environmentalists and marriage equality, but it doesn’t take him long to seize upon the issue du-jour – the “breakdown of public trust” – and pronounce, without a hint of irony, that it’s all down to leaders who blame everyone but themselves.
Thus, dispensing with the last vestiges of veracity, to say nothing of the opportunity for genuine self-reflection, Abbott goes on to lament to a posse of UK climate sceptics the lack of evidence-based policy and intellectual rigour pervading the current political discourse. Sigmund Freud would have had a field day.”
2 The first Newspoll result from The Australian in three weeks has Labor’s two-party lead unchanged at 54-46, from primary votes of Coalition 36% (steady), Labor 37% (down one), Greens 10% (up one) and One Nation 9% (up one). Malcolm Turnbull’s lead as preferred prime minister has narrowed slightly, from 42-31 to 41-33, and he has taken a knock on his personal ratings, with approval down three to 32% and disapproval up four to 56%. Bill Shorten is respectively steady on 33%, and up two to 55%. The poll was conducted Thursday to Sunday from a sample of 1583.
At this point in time, this Newspoll is highly significant. The longevity of Labor’s lead is a worry for the Coalition and is also a fair indication that the electorate is pissed off with the Government. But really, who would blame them? The Coalition is now six percentage points below where they were at the last election.
This is now the 21st consecutive poll to Labor since the last election. Fast approaching that magic number.
Back in June I remember senior people in both parties saying they are working towards being campaign ready by June or July next year, suggesting that we are headed for an election in August or September of next year.
As I recall, this was because of a logjam of fixed-date state elections in 2018 and early 2019, and a constitutional requirement for senators who were elected to half-terms at last year’s double dissolution election to face voters again.
3 On Thursday the employment figures will be released and it is expected that another 25,000 jobs will have been created. This a good thing but the fact remains that for every job available 17 people stand in the line of hope. Just what affect the closure of our car industry will have will filter through in due course.
4 With a month to decision day we are reaching the pointy end of the Marriage Equality survey. The question of course is who will win. Most of the polls give it to the YES vote by a healthy margin. Roy Morgan ran a snap poll and it gives us a snapshot of what the likely outcome will be. According to their stats, it’s a resounding Yes, with 61.5 per cent of Australians in favour and just 17.5 per cent voting No. The $122 million postal survey will close in less than a month, and with more than 62 per cent of Australians having returned their vote, the final outcome looks like being a big win for the YES vote.
More than 80 per cent of 18-24-year-olds have voted Yes, with that figure dropping to 70 per cent for 25-34 years and 69.5 per cent for 35-49 years.
When it comes to the 50-64 year category, 52 per cent have voted Yes and only 48.5 per cent of Australians older than 65 years supported same-sex marriage.
The survey closes on November 7, with the ABS to reveal the results on November 15.
5 Given Barnaby Joyce is found to have had dual citizenship and it was his responsibility to know about it, it would require a by-election which he would probably win. However, it would be interesting if Labor were to deny pairs while Joyce was absent from the parliament for three months.
My thought for the day
“Commitment to the use of critical reason, factual evidence, and scientific methods of inquiry, rather than faith and mysticism, is the best way of providing solutions to human problems.”