Saturday 1 July 2017
1 As sure as light follows day Tony Abbott is moving to place himself in a position to challenge Malcolm Turnbull for the leadership of our country. All the familiar signs are there and it only needs a moment in history for it to happen.
It must be for a reason of revenge that he would do so. All the other factors, like being a failed leader and proven liar on the wrong side of history, who was and remains deeply unpopular, would suggest he is wasting his time.
Or is he? The audaciousness of him laying out his own alternative policy program has shown beyond doubt that a challenge is on and he intends to deliver it when he triumphantly returns to power on the back of a white horse symbolically slaying his enemies with drawn sword.
The recent example of Rudd’s comeback to defeat Julia Gillard bares some similarities, the only difference being that Rudd remained popular.
Other than that the same inner cravings for revenge and supremacy that motivated Rudd also motivates Abbott. They were both, according to the judgement of many, brilliant opposition leaders who were unable to transfer their brilliance into leadership. Rudd was a formidable intellect but was hated by his party. Abbott was such a negative person that the people could never envisage the sun shining through him.
Both proved to be incompetent and were replaced in their first term. Both signed out with a promise of loyalty and servitude to the party and immediately commenced to do otherwise. Rudd, after years of leeks, general trouble-making and obvious slurs eventually replaced Gillard who left with her dignity intact. It remains so.
Can Abbott replace Turnbull? Well there is a school of thought that says he can.
Sean Kelly writing for the Monthly suggests that there are three reasons why he can. They are worth considering.
”The first is that he’s a strong campaigner. In fact, unlike Turnbull, he has convincingly won an election – and he wasn’t popular then, either. There’s a logical argument against this – Labor tore itself down, and Abbott was incidental – but when you’re looking for a reason to do something you already want to do the excuse doesn’t have to be perfect.
So the weakness that Abbott has when compared to Rudd isn’t as important as it seems. Moreover, Abbott has advantages that Rudd did not.
The second reason, then, is that Abbott is seen internally as a natural creature of his party. Rudd (like Turnbull) never had that – and in fact had to overcome its lack (and did so, twice).
The third is that Abbott is fighting for a particular cause, that of conservatism within the Liberal Party. As Paul Kelly said yesterday, “The fact that Tony Abbott is not popular in the community doesn’t matter. He is the banner-carrier for the conservatives …” The Rudd–Gillard war was never about ideology. Abbott’s war against Turnbull is.”
Personally, I feel that a return to Abbott would be political suicide. The world has moved on and men like Abbott are of an obsolete breed. With the young likely to make their presence felt at the next election they will be looking for fresh ideas. Abbott has proven that he is devoid of any and his slogans are now held in mistrust.
He wants to freeze the RET at 15%, have a moratorium on wind farms, build our own coal-fired power stations and slash immigration. He also advocates the banning all new spending except on defence and infrastructure. He advocates now what he rejected as leader believing that when Labor moves you move further away.
”Power is a malevolent possession when you are prepared to forgo your principles and your country’s wellbeing for the sake of it.”
2 Chrissy has fixed it with an apology … like water of a ducks back. When you next see him at Question Time you will see the same obnoxious personality berating others as fools and hypocrites while prancing around like the poodle Julia Gillard once named him after.
He has always had a certain flair for the drama of politics with inflated, often exaggerated language that always comes back to smack him in the face. But he never seems to take any notice.
Certainly his comments regarding gay marriage have hurt his party both internally and externally by highlighting just how deep the ideological wars run within the party and just how much the Gonski legislation would have offended the conservatives.
Not to mention just how much harm this plebiscite to find out, at a cost of $200 million, what is already known, is doing. They surely cannot take it to the next election. They will have to do what we elected them to do: Vote.
With an election likely to happen in little over a year the Coalition are in an internal nasty war. Deep shit, some might say. Just who will win is anyone’s guess. It’s left versus right with Abbott in the middle stirring the pot.
3 Simon Benson writing in The Australian:
“Malcolm Turnbull has six weeks to decide how to unite a divided party or accept one of two possibilities.” (??)
4 Who said this?
”The issue for us is that we need to move on before all of this stuff consumes us because I honestly believe with all of my heart that the worst thing for our country is for Bill Shorten to get in there, to become prime minister and to wreck the economy, to run up debt.”
A clue. PD.
My thought for the day.
”Every day I write my opinions on a variety of subjects. They are my own thoughts based on my political philosophy, many individual and collective influences, and my worldview based on 77 years of a living experience.
On some Facebook pages it’s astonishing just how many on the right of politics swear blind they never read would never contemplate reading my work, so abhorrent it is to them. Then they go on to opine about it.
Whatever intelligence I might have affords me no understanding of this.”