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Search Results for: where did all the voters go

If The Jackboots Actually Fit …

By Jane Salmon  

If The Jackboots Actually Fit … Why Does Labor Keep Tripping Over Its Own Feet? 

On Tuesday, a bunch of bright young refugees went to parliament to talk about their community contribution, their quest for permanent residency and what more they could give the nation if granted domestic tertiary study rights.

They were to meet with independent members of parliament and senators, alongside sector organisers like Jana Favero of ASRC. Interacting with politicians and representing the sector seemed positive enough.

But instead of sharing their dreams, these young people ended up addressing the nightmare of deportation, in the light of proposed Amendments to the Migration Act.

The actual bill seems not only hasty and loose, but an over-reaction.

Just who are these measures intended for? Dare the Government even say?

“Australia could ban visa applications from five countries under proposed new laws to thwart a potential repeat of the high court detainee scandal.

“The laws would grant the minister the power to block visa applications from countries that do not accept their citizens being involuntarily returned.

“Up to five countries are reportedly being targeted by the Albanese government – Iraq, Iran, South Sudan, Zimbabwe and Russia.”

The terms of the bill as so broad that they seem capable of causing grief for many of the brightest refugees in the nation.

Greens Senator David Shoebridge via X):

“Just uncovered a massive element to this Bill, there is a loophole in this Bill that will allow this law to be applied to any non-citizen, without restriction, regardless of which visa they are on.”

Why is the Bill so comprehensive if only targeting one bloke (ASF17) due before the High Court in mid-April?

And what is the actual emergency? A few gaps in the system occasionally leave the Department with egg on its face. Despite maintaining those gaps for 9 years in office, the Opposition enjoys celebrating these shortcomings in the media.

Where is the replacement for the failed Fast Track scheme?

There is also the matter of criminalising an authentic fear of repatriation. Five-year sentences and a fine seems excessive.

Rather than treating irregular arrivals kindly after over a decade of living and working here, we are again focusing on a handful of bad apples and disregarding the larger, more productive bunch.

That is, we are being disproportionately punitive.

It is almost phobic. And it shows no faith in the judiciary. And is it warranted? Some studies indicate that overall, refugees are no more likely to break the law than ordinary citizens. They may take less for granted.

A 2019 study found no impact of immigration on crime rates in Australia:

Foreigners are under-represented in the Australian prison population, according to 2010 figures. A 1987 report by the Australian Institute of Criminology noted that studies had consistently found that migrant populations in Australia had lower crime rates than the Australian-born population.

Some ethnic groups seem to attract more attention from the law and others less. This may be down to background or police perception.

Don’t most people break the law due to a lack of support?

Then there is the double jeopardy problem. Are law breakers without visas who serve a sentence actually any more dangerous than an Australian citizen who serves a jail term? We have warehoused those few refugees who break state or national laws in jails and then all over again in detention centres without any form of useful rehabilitation. How smart is that?

Moreover, deportations can and do get pushed through no matter what countries are involved. Australian immigration guards are quite assertive like that.

Should individuals carry the responsibility for breaches in nation-to-nation diplomacy?

It is ironic that even the Liberals think the Bill is too hasty.

This is the same party that a few years ago sought to get immigration (Australia Border Force) troopers garbed in black onto the streets to randomly check peoples’ immigration papers. An LNP Government oversaw years of the sometimes-fatal Manus and Nauru detention regimes offshore.

So … do the LNP inspire jackboot, kneejerk, reactionary laws and then seek extra time to make the rules more horrible?

Or they aim to maintain and enjoy the spectacle of Labor squirming after awkward release decisions by the High Court?

Or is it that the LNP genuinely seek information and due process? Now that would be quaint.

Rather than acknowledge the deeper causes of Australian economic or social challenges, Labor apparently seeks to improve electoral chances by playing up to racial prejudice. Replacing media slants and scapegoats with facts might do them more credit with voters born overseas.

Mirroring the LNP has not gone smoothly. When trying on Dutton’s racist jackboots, Labor seems to slop about uncomfortably and occasionally trip.

So which is Labor’s real game: draconian policy or benign inclusion and compassion? If Labor intermittently apes the LNP just to get across the electoral line, more of the electorate may be tempted to flirt with independents and the LNP.

Wouldn’t it be better to judge individual cases on merit than by country or income or skills? At the moment immigration decisions seem classist and arbitrary. Culture is as much of a threat as war or the law in places hostile to religious or ethnic minorities, LGBTQI+, women from Sharia countries or even those living with disabilities.

Nothing has actually replaced the flawed Fast Track process as yet. Shouldn’t Government be getting on with that?

Yes, some gaming of tourist and student visas overstayer loopholes occurs. (You can’t logically seek a protection visa and then nip back home for a holiday). But, given the clumsiness of assessment processes, how else do people escaping sudden war get here in a hurry? Remember the chaos of Kabul airport? The lack of a working DFAT hotline?

Deciding refugee status strictly by nationality has never been adequate. Anyone from anywhere can face exceptional threats.

The arbitrariness of assessments seems concerning. Departmental staff do not seem trained enough nor equipped to assess real situations on the ground. Nor are they held to account for their decisions.

The latest Migration Act amendments reflects the fact that Pezzullo’s protégées are still running the department. They are actively papering over the mess that their own indefinite detention decisions created. (Most of their ankle monitor rulings did not stick when assessed by a judge). They have poured their poison into the ears of once-compassionate politicians for too long.

A sharp new broom is needed to clear out the departmental debris.

Meanwhile many vulnerable asylum seekers and refugees are stressed and some even seem suicidal. It is far too easy for any citizen to suggest they stay calm, steer a steady course at work and keep making allies in all areas of parliament. Those with traumatic lived experience might reasonably find all that harder in practice.

They long for rights to study, work, hugs with ageing relatives, secure mortgages and plan for a clearer future. After up to 12 long years of feeling stuck, constrained and afraid, it seems a fair ask. That they cope at all is admirable.

What is next? We have 5 weeks to analyse the Bill and make submissions to a senate review. The Coalition’s James Patterson claims he is all for passing it.

This “emergency” has been decades in the making. Surely less kneejerk, more constructive solutions are needed?

 

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Why A Punch In The Face May Be Good For Civil Discourse!

Now I’m not one who believes in violence as a solution to problems. Generally it only makes things worse, whether we’re talking on a personal or on a global scale.

When I once suggested that a better way of conducting wars would be to have each country bomb its own areas, people looked at me as though I was insane, but it’s not only cheaper, it would be good for the climate because we’d reduce all those greenhouse gases involved in sending planes to another country. Simply, Country X who’s at war with Country Y would send a message saying that Country Y should bomb such and such an area, which Country Y would do, but in retaliation it would send a message back to Country X saying that it had to bomb an area of its own. After Country Y has bombed its own munitions factory, Country X bombs its own museum. Or whatever. Similarly, troops could vote on which of their comrades were shot by their own army after the other country asks for a number of soldiers to be shot. The public could be involved in a Big Brother type vote where they vote on which innocent civilians would need to be at the proposed site when it was bombed.

Someone told me that it was a ridiculous and insane idea, to which I replied that it made a lot more sense than all the time and effort and logistics involved in moving your defence forces all the way to another country. I mean how much did it cost the USA to move all those troops and equipment to Iraq? How much cheaper would it be if countries just agreed to bomb themselves?

Anyway, I do accept that the idea won’t be universally accepted and I do accept that most of my brilliant ideas are misunderstood… I guess I’m like the early years of the Abbott government where they told us that it wasn’t their policies that were making them unpopular, it was the fact that they weren’t communicating them well enough for the stupid public to understand how good they were!

Like when I suggest that the trouble with social media is that nobody gets punched in the face.

Don’t get me wrong, I’m not saying that I like violence.

To explain what I mean, let’s consider the football. If I’m at the MCG, I can scream at the opposition ruckman a variety of insults and, even if he hears them and gets offended, he’s not likely to work out where they’re coming from, much less jump the fence and grab me by the collar for insulting his parentage. On the other hand, if I see him later that night at the pub, I’m unlikely to go up and say the same thing to him. Even if I was silly enough to do so, I would get the sense that I’d made a big mistake when he towered over me and asked me to repeat myself.

On social media, however, there are few consequences for abuse, particularly if one isn’t using one’s real name…

I was rather amused by some calling themselves “Stable Genius” who complained that someone else was a coward because they’d turned off comments on their post… mainly because all the Stable Geniuses were writing misogynist insults. I considered pointing out that it was easy to be brave when using a pseudonym but I was worried that they’d write back that they weren’t – they were using their iPhone…

Anyway, in real life, most people – even stable geniuses – get concerned when they see that someone is getting angry. It doesn’t always mean that they back off, but generally, people work out that there’s no point in continuing to argue if you’re no longer listening to each other or if someone looks like they’re going to turn nasty. On social media there seem to be large numbers of people who actively try to upset people.

While this isn’t confined to RWNJs, I did have trouble with a post from someone who argued that Albanese and Labor were pursuing the Marxist agenda of taking money from the middle classes and giving it to the rich the way Marxists do… I mean, was the person really that lacking in understanding of Marxism or was he just trying to upset Labor voters… Without going into the whole history of political thought, I would just suggest that they’d be very few Marxists in the current Federal government, and there’d be even less Marxists who’d be voting for Labor at the moment.

Whatever, it does strike me as strange the many of the people who referred to Twitter (sorry X) as a sewer were often guilty of the sort of abuse that they were calling out. “It’s not safe for us on this platform because of the vitriol coming from those feral, layabout dole-bludging greenie socialist inbred scum who haven’t worked a day in their lives!”

Like I said, I don’t condone violence. However when I first heard the German word, “backpfeifengesicht” meaning a face that needs to be slapped, the face of several politicians and commentators came to mind.

 

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What has age got to do with it?

The ongoing commentary about the relative ages of the two Presidential candidates is becoming tedious. What matters most is their ability to lead. By the time of the election, Trump and Biden would have each spent a term in office. So, there has been sufficient time for the American people to have formed an opinion about their worthiness to take office for another.

So, how old is too old? Well, it depends on the individual. Many years ago, we were astonished when someone became a centurion. Now, it’s expected. It is part of our evolution. The same is true of our height, which has increased over centuries. People of seven feet are not uncommon.

Of course, this also applies to our cognitive abilities. Former Australian politician Barry Jones’s sagaciously intelligent mind is still writing books at 90, and Bob Hawke, at 89, took a significant interest in the world around him. John Howard will be 85 in July and takes an active interest in politics.

Rubert Murdoch is still telling lies. He is 91 and has become engaged yet again, while Paul McCartney toured Australia at 82. 

Maggie Thatcher was very old until she lost it. Her friend Mikhail Gorbachev lived until 91. The famous French resistance leader and President Charles de Gaulle was 80. Fidel Castro was the President of Cuba, aged 82. Queen Elizabeth was still serving her people at 96.

Spanish artist Picasso was still knocking them out at 91, and the Russian author and philosopher Leo Tolstoy was still writing at 82. US Industrialist Henry Ford was still producing at 84. American inventor Thomas Edison was still working at 84. 

These days, 90-year-olds have been known to obtain university degrees. 

In America, you must be over 35 to be eligible for the Presidency, 30 to be a Senator, and 25 to enter the House. Its parliament is filled with aging politicians. 

The New York Times lists twenty congressmen and women as aged. Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky is 81, and Nancy Pelosi will finish her term at 83. Plus we have:

  1. Senator Dianne Feinstein, Democrat of California, 90 (retiring)
  2. Senator Charles E. Grassley, Republican of Iowa, 89
  3. Representative Grace F. Napolitano, Democrat of California, 86 (retiring)
  4. Representative Bill Pascrell Jr., Democrat of New Jersey, 86
  5. Delegate Eleanor Holmes Norton, Democrat of the District of Columbia, 86
  6. Representative Harold Rogers, Republican of Kentucky, 85
  7. Representative Maxine Waters, Democrat of California, 85
  8. Representative Steny H. Hoyer, Democrat of Maryland, 84
  9. Representative Nancy Pelosi, Democrat of California, 83
  10. Representative James E. Clyburn, Democrat of South Carolina, 83
  11. Representative Danny K. Davis, Democrat of Illinois, 82
  12. Senator Bernie Sanders, independent of Vermont, 82
  13. Representative John Carter, Republican of Texas, 81
  14. Senator Mitch McConnell, Republican of Kentucky, 81
  15. Representative Frederica S. Wilson, Democrat of Florida, 80
  16. Representative Anna G. Eshoo, Democrat of California, 80
  17. Representative Kay Granger, Republican of Texas, 80
  18. Representative Rosa DeLauro, Democrat of Connecticut, 80
  19. Senator Jim Risch, Republican of Idaho, 80
  20. Representative Virginia Foxx, Republican of North Carolina, 80

(Source: Biographical Directory of the United States Congress).

Well, let me finish with the American Actor Cary Grant. He had five wives and fathered a child after he turned 60. (Steve Martin also became a father at 67, btw.)

People have children later in life, and sporting careers are being extended. Playing professional sports at 40 is common nowadays. Age is becoming less critical in all facets of society. Yes, we are living longer – for some, painfully so. Living to 80 was beyond my comprehension as a child, but here I am at 83, still writing for The AIMN, with an active interest in all that life offers those who enjoy its neverending wonderments. 

Of course, the curious among us will contemplate life’s reason and others its purpose, while some will endure it. We all think about its unfairness, suffering, and the energy it requires.

Gaining wisdom to answer philosophical questions requires a deep understanding of all that inhibits us. This understanding comes from long-term observation and experience. With time, we develop the intuition to look at things from different perspectives and make wise decisions. Therefore, aging is not just a process of getting old but can also be a path towards gaining knowledge and wisdom.

The cohort of people most prone to age abuse or bias is those we call the baby boomers

So, what has age got to do with it?

In particular, for the two aspirants for President of the USA.

Young politicians should not use their age to “create doubt” about the competency of aged politicians, and aged politicians should not use their age as a weapon of superiority.

Ageism is a critical issue that our society must address. To tackle this problem, we should only mention a candidate’s age when it’s legally required. It’s crucial to treat people of all ages with respect and dignity. We must focus our conversations on the candidate’s “qualifications and merits rather than their age.” Let’s have fair and thoughtful discussions that encourage us to value everyone’s contributions, regardless of age.

Understandably, American voters may have concerns about the competence of the candidates. However, we must remember that the First Amendment protects free speech, regardless of its accuracy. Thus, the challenge for the voter lies in finding a balance between protecting their rights and ensuring that the information shared is truthful.

And rightly so. Both have shown instances of observable ageism, be it by forgetting names, places, or physical difficulties.

In this instance, voters, the American people, will elect the (alleged) leader of the free world. 

Despite everything I have written, how does one eliminate the age factor? Is it possible to overcome human nature?

Well, no, you cannot. You cannot eliminate it from your judgment. The American system has given its people these two men to choose from.

In my view, Donald Trump and President Biden should be ordered to undergo a mental examination to ascertain their fitness to govern the country. If necessary, the Supreme Court could order both to submit to a complete physical and psychiatric evaluation if they were not prepared to do so voluntarily.

President Biden appears to be medically fit. His mental faculties seem reasonable. 

On the other hand, former President Trump might pass a fitness test, but his cognitive capacity is highly doubtful, and on that finding alone, he would be disqualified from running.

In addition, he faces many legal problems involving him defending many indictments (that could go on for years) while running for office, possibly from a prison cell.

My writing should not be interpreted as favouring those who have had the privilege of living long lives. Instead, I deeply empathise with those who seek the vitality and vigour of youth.

In 2016 I described Trump as follows:

“Australians see Trump as a sick, deluded, and sexually abusive narcissist and corrupt criminal with a limited understanding of complex world problems. He is a crash-through politician with a ubiquitous mouth who is entertaining to some but lacks the worldly character required for leadership.”

And that, has nothing to do with his age.

My thought for the day

Time doesn’t diminish the crime. 

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Traditionalism: the belief that could doom us all

It can be difficult to understand what connects free market devotees, white ethnostate militants, Christian Nationalists, tech bros and mere conservatives in the West. One concept that can help understand their rough alliance is traditionalism. In fact it draws together an international contingent that shares goals and enemies, shaping domestic and foreign policy against the interests of the majority.

The international rise of traditionalism became a quantum leap more obvious over recent weeks. Between calls for televised executions sponsored by Coke, the welcoming of the end of democracy, the beginning of the doom of American IVF and rampant Islamophobia in Britain, the eruptions are becoming louder. This week prospective US President Trump is welcoming the leader of Europe’s traditionalist illiberal movement, Viktor Orbán, at Mar-a-Lago.

Adherents of the esoteric heights of philosophical Traditionalism believe that we live in the depraved Age of Slaves – democracy – that must reach its destruction. Our current Kali Yuga, dark age, will be followed by a rebirth into the golden age, the theocratic Age of Priests, in this cyclical rhythm. It is a spiritual belief that demands hierarchy, order and an end to every poison that comes from the Modern age: reason, freedom, equality, progress. These ideas are inspired by the writings of René Guénon and Julius Evola.

Two of the most influential adherents are Steve Bannon, formerly Donald Trump’s first Chief Strategist, and Vladimir Putin’s alleged intellectual inspiration, Aleksandr Dugin. Benjamin Teitelbaum’s hours of interviews with Bannon, and other key figures in the global Right, on the subject are fascinating.

They are radicalising figures. West-loathing Dugin, for example, earned a number of travel bans by calling for genocide in Ukraine in 2014, to rid that valuable land of the “race of bastards.” He helped create in Russia “an atmosphere in which violent internal repression and armed foreign aggression seem natural.” For Dugin, and Putin, a Russian empire will lead this new age. Bannon proclaimed in 2013 that he wanted to destroy the American state and “bring everything crashing down.” Now Bannon runs his media campaign, which is understood to be a significant force on the MAGA+ Right, and plots to reignite his dream to unite Europe into a Traditionalist force. Bannon boasted of his time spent planning with Dugin.

Julius Evola, who shaped the key tenets of Guénon’s writing into its current form, is a pivotal figure feeding into libertarian apocalypticism amongst the tech bros and neo fascists of the internet, disseminated outwards from being the guide of self-styled intellectual fascists. Manosphere podcaster Joe Rogan and former-Murdoch darling Tucker Carlson have both amplified his ideas. These concepts infuse the ideology promoted by the neoreactionary inspiration of the tech magnates, and “leading intellectual figure on the New Right,” Curtis Yarvin. Yarvin shares the fascists’ goal to speed up the destruction of the Kali Yuga in Accelerationism. He schemes for the destruction of the government (and other liberal institutions such as academia, known collectively as the Cathedral) to be replaced by a monarchy. His essays were mainstreamed to the New Right by the Claremont Institute, an Atlas Network partner. Yarvin’s plan to unmake the government is now set out in clear steps by the Atlas-partner Heritage Foundation’s Mandate for Leadership. It is hardly surprising that the billionaire owners of the platforms of civil discourse are investing in potential boltholes in New Zealand, Hawaii and are shooting for Mars.

The popular version of traditionalism, by contrast with this “philosophical” version, appears a nostalgia for a past that never existed. Instead its proponents create a past whitened of sin and pain which narrative they mandate as the only truth. This traditionalism is a site of rampant hypocrisy: a cavalcade of adulterers pontificate about the sacredness of the family and the sinfulness of the diverse modern world. It is a mechanism for control, deployed by people who resent the power they’ve been forced to share with communities they despise. While some only wish to recreate that past, with no care for how differently others experienced the White men’s better days, for others the intentions are extreme.

Populist traditionalism ties together the bigotries against shared enemies of the international Right. Unlike the spiritual racism of the esoterics (handily borrowing Aryan ideals that lighter skin means higher caste and more priestly), this version is overtly biologically and essentially racist. While China is a primary international target of the movement, the most violent bigotry is directed at Muslims, denoted as Brown, and whose lives, according to the Right, are clearly worthless. This aspect of traditionalism unites the currently acceptable Hindu nationalists with the currently acceptable Israeli Jewish nationalists.

Thus in Britain, the Conservative Party Whip lost his role over vile Islamophobic comments. Much of the longterm Tory Islamophobia is spelt out by politicians of ministerial seniority, often from immigrant origins themselves. India and Israel have deep political connections, to a substantial extent united by Islamophobia. Former Secretary of State for the Home Department Suella Braverman depicted ceasefire rallies, calling for an end to the slaughter of innocents in Palestine, as “hate marches.” Any support for human rights by a multicultural array of Britons – White and Black, Jewish bloc, and Muslim Brits – is thus depicted as a violent Muslim insurgency and a sign that they are not fit to live in Britain.

This fits with recent investigations into Paul Marshall, the hedge-fund multi-millionaire, and the beliefs implied by his Twitter (X) activity. Marshall has retweeted calls for a range of Islamophobic arguments including the mass deportation of immigrants. Marshall is a major funder of GB News (Britain’s equivalent to US Fox News or Sky Australia), UnHerd, and has put in a bid to buy The Telegraph, the preeminent “conservative” paper in Britain. He is also one of the founding supporters of the Atlas-linked Alliance for Responsible Citizenship, funding its global anti-climate action agenda and its mission to impose traditionalist values.

In America, Donald Trump is also calling for mass deportation of immigrants. Steve Bannon predicted that these would encompass at least 14 million people. Logistics suggest this scale would be impossible, but the targeting of Brown Americans and residents will be ghastly. Trump’s “top immigration adviser,” Stephen Miller authored the plan to take children – even babies from their mothers’ arms – because crossing the border to apply for asylum made their parents “criminals,” based on his White supremacist beliefs. He is now strategising to assemble an ad hoc army for a military operation that will seize people in mass raids across the country, place them in concentration camps, then apparently deport them in multiple flights each day, overriding all their rights. He intends Republican state armies to invade resistant Democrat states. This sounds like civil war.

Esoteric Traditionalism demands patriarchy. Populist traditionalism unites American Christian Nationalists with the range of MAGA Trumpists in their determination to enforce the nuclear family as the central unit of order. They intend to control people’s sexuality. LGBTQIA+ sexuality and identities are to be eliminated; people who won’t be “cured” will be killed. Women are to be constrained to the home and subordination to a husband. The demarcation of IVF as a current target denotes both that there will be no reproduction without God, and also that birth control is the next target. Already figures are arguing that birth control harms women physically and socially. Life beginning at conception eliminates several key methods of contraception as the start of the new battle that will join abortion-elimination in the battle to deny all reproductive rights. The Right also has begun fighting no-fault divorce (despite the fact that there was as much as a 16% reduction in female suicide after states introduced no-fault divorce). It is not just the belief that women must be returned to their place that drives these measures: this Western Right also promotes natalism – the idea that White women must breed to prevent “race suicide.”

The recent Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) in Maryland was a hotbed of traditionalist radicalisation of the Trumpist base. Trump also declared himself ready to claim “ultimate and absolute revenge” on his opponents. Jack Posobiec is a conspiracist and Lincoln Fellow at the formerly prestigious Atlas Network-partner, the Claremont Institute. He claimed, in typical trolling rightwing spirit that his comments were satirical, but this is the way the movement has long mainstreamed ideas. He said: “Welcome to the end of democracy. We are here to overthrow it completely.” Typical of a number of speakers at the event, he promoted the attempt to overturn the last election: “We didn’t get all the way there on Jan. 6, but we will endeavor to get rid of it.” It is hardly surprising that this iteration of the event allowed open Neo Nazis to spruik antisemitic propaganda: there is considerable overlap in the projects now.

Another key Trump-supporter, Charlie Kirk of Turning Point USA, has illustrated how biological racism is core to the new Right with even the Republican Party’s bowdlerised vision of Martin Luther King Jr to be abandoned. This deployment of MLK to appeal to Black voters has been superseded by the depiction of Black people as essentially inferior and a threat. Kirk also argued, in a dog-whistling display that his listeners know refers to Black people, that executions should be shown on television and children made to watch. He joked that Coke should sponsor that exhibition.

Steve Bannon spoke with Tucker Carlson late in 2023 promoting the Great Replacement conspiracy. Both men evoked a White-race-hating “elite” replacing uncontrollable White populations with manageable non-White immigrants. Bannon praised Viktor Orban as the “political and … public intellectual leader of this.” Carlson has interviewed and praised both Orbán and Putin for his radicalised audience, displaying both electoral authoritarian regimes as models. Putin has been described as a neo-Stalinist dictator, so supporting his more violent measures can inflict costs on the less ostentatious Right. Orbán, leaning towards subtle authoritarianism is a lower-cost role model. Orbán has much to gain from Republicans’ strategic support of Putin’s military goals, and a longterm observer of the authoritarian-admiring Right believes Republicans aim to leave eastern and maybe central Europe for Putin to take. It is debatable whether racism or “family values” bigotry is a stronger driving force in the Putin and Orban traditionalist sphere. Historian Ruth Ben-Ghiat argued in her study of authoritarians that the “big continuity and constant is homophobia…even more than race.” Viktor Orbán’s prioritising of the “traditional family” and targeting of LGBTQIA people certainly makes him a hero on this Right. Traditionalism ultimately embraces both forms of prejudice as required.

Several Australian Liberal Party grandees and apparatchiks are integrated into the Orbán traditionalist propaganda campaign. Tony Abbott decried “immigrants swarming across the borders in Europe.” Alexander Downer disdained immigrant “bantustans.” Both seem fixed in the “Clash of Civilisations” mentality that characterised the 9/11 aftermath. Kevin Andrews complained that “[p]opular ideas and current lifestyle choices militate against the acceptance of appropriate policy responses” to a purported birthrate crisis. This natalist position allows no scope for lives that don’t promote breeding within sacred marriage. Last year Downer spoke at another Orbán event, criticising the Left’s “divisiveness” caused by “identity politics.” Thus the traditionalists delegitimise voices that experience life differently: we would be united if the rest would only accept straight, White, “Christian” men’s experience as the only reality. News Corp’s Greg Sheridan criticised the “green madness” which is the “new religion” taught in schools, signalling the fossil fuel agenda entwined with this ideology. It’s likely these Australians’ traditionalism is populist (as one imagines is the traditionalism of Orbán and Putin); it remains to be seen whether any esoteric Traditionalists number amongst them. Regardless, they too despise the democratic project that allows freedom to their “woke” enemies.

Opinion-writers are trying to suggest that democracy is more resilient than our worst fears have portended. As Protect Democracy senior lawyers pointed out recently, however, the USA played its Get out of Jail card when Biden was finally named Trump’s replacement on the night of the 6th. It is valuable to understand this illiberal movement as a process of “competitive authoritarianism,” where the democratic project is hollowed out until the incumbent can no longer be ousted, as appears to be the achievement for Orban. The election itself remains but it is increasingly meaningless. Where our democratic projects worked for so many years to extend the franchise to men without property, to women, to non-White people, now the efforts work to reverse the goals as these traditionalists aim to entrench themselves as the new aristocrats. In Australia, Tony Abbott tried to resuscitate knights and dames. In Britain, departing Prime Ministers install Atlas Network figures into the House of Lords to shape the country more directly. In the US, notable figures have begun to echo radical Right talking points that women should not have the vote; working people have long struggled to vote there with elections held on weekdays, and fewer booths in poorer districts. Anti-majoritarian mechanisms pervade their system. Republicans now speciously boast that the USA was never a democracy as part of the efforts to kill such flawed representation as they allow.

Nostalgia for a mythic past pervades internationally-connected, far-right movements and it is closely allied to the neoliberal project. The Atlas Network is the primary driver of the neoliberal alliance globally. Its forces have been integrated into the populist-nativist Right in Europe, and they are now driving the American democratic project further towards authoritarianism. The forces allied around the Atlas Heritage Foundation’s Project 2025 for a new Republican president are formidable and far more organised than Trump’s team was in 2017 when they carried out two-thirds of Heritage’s previous Mandate for Leadership. Project 2025’s Advisory Board combines many Atlas partner bodies with a range of the Christian Nationalist organisations that make up the Council for National Policy (CNP). The new Mandate lists many oppressive social policies intended to be carried out by a President functioning mostly by executive action, overriding a devastated federal workforce where 50,000 are to be sacked. (Ron DeSantis’s vow to start “slitting throats” of federal workers in August was echoed by a Trump supporter beheading his federal-employee father and broadcasting the head on social media in a “Call to arms for American Patriots.”) The often-traditionalist libertarian donor class and the Christofascists are now more closely aligned in goals than they have ever been.

The 2025 Mandate provides again the evidence that these traditionalists know their goals are minoritarian, but they will impose them on the majority using any authoritarian mechanism they can devise.

If they succeed in winning a Trump victory, it will also mean a rolling back of Biden’s impressive program promoting the transition to renewables. It will mean a crumbling of any nascent global effort to combat the climate catastrophe. This is hardly surprising since many of the plutocrats who fund the junktanks in the Atlas Network and the CNP stem from the fossil fuel sector. The support for Russian imperial goals, alongside other petrostates, will hasten the climate catastrophe.

Australians might believe a Trump victory’s social implications remain distant for us, but our rightwing parties seem determined to impose their minoritarian will like their American role models. Liberal politicians, Atlas-connected Advance – unfortunately aided by an awkwardly-timed police mistake – worked to inflame nativist-populist grievance in a by-election last weekend. Policy is abandoned; divisive propaganda is the replacement. These politicians continue to support nuclear reactors primarily as a further delay on climate action and, when we experience the climate catastrophe as a worse permacrisis than we might have, will do the bare minimum to support affected communities.

The traditionalism that is being promoted by the Radical Right around the world will doom us all, but not before stripping our freedoms.

 

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Dunkley sends all of us a message

“If you live in Frankston, and you’ve got a problem with Victorian women being assaulted by foreign criminals, vote against Labor. “If you do not want to see Australian women being assaulted by foreign criminals, vote against Labor. Send Labor a message.”

Labor easily wins Dunkley, increasing its primary vote to forty per cent. As no-one predicted. On her way to Canberra is Jodie Belyea, who introduces herself as “a mum from Frankston with two dogs and a mortgage” and a local woman dedicated to empowering other women. The likeable, highly-respected and refreshingly unassuming, local community activist and founder of the Women’s Spirit Movement (2018) is the candidate preferred, at last count, by at least 52% of the 133,000 registered electors who cast a valid vote, in the Port Phillip Bay sand-belt electorate where On the Beach 1959, a film about the end of the world was shot.

It’s another crushing defeat for Peter Craig Dutton, who is now lying low over Anklegate a scandal in which a released detainee fingered by Dutton and deputy Liberal leader Sussan Ley in Question Time for sexual assault and stalking turns out to be the wrong man – because the data from his electronic ankle bracelet wrongly put him at the scene of an alleged crime.

It’s par for the course for Dutton – a serial dud in every portfolio he’s ever held, from Health to Home Affairs. He’s now following Morrison’s delusion that Liberal Party salvation lies in the outer suburbs. The lie that Labor would tax utes and family cars when, in fact, its vehicle emissions standards will save money and help preserve what’s left of our planet’s atmosphere apes ScoMo’s abortive bid for the vote of a mythical outer suburban tradie.

But there’s more. Everybody loves trains. $900 million will treat rail travellers to an upgrade of the link to Baxter in the very Liberal seat of Flinders, should they wish to brave Stony Point mosquitoes in their eagerness to take a day trip to see how the other half lives.

For Liberal candidate Nathan Conroy, it’s all over. He did his best with a bad script about how bad crime was. Locals love that stuff. Is he a sore loser? It’s fashionable, in the heady hyper-partisan slanging match our politics is today, to maintain your hate. A developer-friendly Frankston Mayor for three years in a row, with a rate rise every year to show for it, Conroy, formerly of Cork, is a big man with a slab of a face such as you might encounter in a friendly punch-on in a rugby scrum or in a grudge-match of Gaelic football.

Thirty-one-year-old Conroy, who boasts he once ran a multi-million dollar business -as manager of a Richmond bowlo- (that’s a lot of parma)-is the Liberals’ archetypal pin-up boy. White, straight and blokey. With the business background, he could be another Bruce Billson who held Dunkley until he got a job representing small business, for which he was being paid months before he quit politics. Conroy is slow to congratulate his opponent – as are other Liberals – but he does publicly congratulate himself on his wife’s pregnancy.

He doesn’t know where he found the time … (to make a baby) … but he did, he says.

Conroy grins, sporting teeth like a barracuda. They are neat teeth in a crooked smile.

Mrs Conroy doesn’t know where to look. Does hubby think he’s at a buck’s night? Ley, who is as high as a kite, comes to the rescue; proclaims Nathan a national Liberal hero. Even better than making babies, he’s made Dunkley marginal. The truth is, the absence of One Nation and UAP from the ballot accounts for what Murdoch and our corporate media brand a four percent swing to the Coalition.

“We are coming for you,” Ley warbles, adding that a three to four percent swing across the nation would win the Coalition government. It wouldn’t. It holds fifty-five seats. Twenty-one are needed to form a majority government. The swing looks around 3.4 per cent at the AEC Tally Room, Sunday. But bunkum and bluster are the order of the day in the politics of a post-truth, Trumpian age era. Expect more “alternative facts” after Sky’s Peta Credlin stoutly declares that Dutton resonates in Dunkley.

Credlin strikes gold on the night. The heartland. It’s the Liberals’ Lassiter’s Reef. And it’s in Dunkley. Ground zero is probably half-way up Oliver’s Hill, under that cantilevered bungalow, where the late Graham Cyril Kennedy, AO, had an unimpeded view of Port Phillip Bay.

“… the base is back, the Liberal heartland is back”!

“Coming for you” means more smear ‘n fear. Look out, Albo. Albo is at least in Dunkley. Unlike Dutton, who does a bunk and is QANTAS clubbing his way back to Dickson. Classy.

The electorate is named in honour of feminist, telegraphist and union leader, the fearless, tireless, eloquent, advocate for equal pay for women in the public service, Louisa Dunkley 1886-1927. Victorian Liberal senator, Crumb-maiden Jane Hume, who is also at the Liberal campaign wake, thinks quotas are OK for corporations, but the Liberal Party is “a different beast”.

Discretion is the better part of valour, but it does mean Spud’s abandoned Ley and Hume at the bar to do the obsequies? At least former Frankston school-boy and Liberal fund-raiser, Jeffrey Gibb Kennett, is celebrating his 76th birthday there. It leaves Peter time to warm up the party bus. Tomorrow, Ley will be the scapegoat for that stunt about the released detainee being arrested by the police on charges of sexual assault and misconduct. After howling down Albo in parliament about his dereliction of duty in failing to defy the High Court and lock up all the detainees, most of whom, Team Dutton reckons, are hardened criminals and all primed to rape, pillage and “re-offend”.

Some detainees have already been locked up for a decade. Some have been offenders, but all have done their time. For most, their only “crime” is to seek refuge here by boat. We lock them up for the rest of their lives and when a High Court forces us to let them out we insist that the harmless and innocent majority wear ankle-bracelets alongside the few who have committed serious crimes? What could possibly go wrong?

But it’s not about justice, it’s about the theatre of cruelty as deterrence, and was once very popular. We’re so proud of our boat turnarounds, we’ve exported the idea to Rishi Sunak’s Littler Britain, where “illegals” will be exported at great expense to Rwanda.

Or back to certain death. Dutton once locked up “Deva”, a blind, mentally ill Sri Lankan man for ten years who sought refuge after being tortured by the Sri Lankan army, a fact established by Australian authorities. He could choose to go home, a type of death sentence. Or stay in detention. But we were flexible.

The Minister might grant him a visa. In the future. Which he wouldn’t get because the Minister had decided he had failed the character test. Concerns were raised then about Dutton’s use of the heads-I-win-tails-you-lose, god-like, arbitrary power the Home Affairs Minister has to either grant or deny visas at whim.

In his decision, Federal Court Justice Rares called it “absurd” and “unacceptable” to put forth that Dutton might issue Deva with a visa in the future when he had just found – on grounds not disclosed – that the mentally ill refugee failed the character test. The justice found that the government’s position was unreasonable and legally invalid.”

It may be rhetoric when Team Dutton pledges to lock asylum-seekers with criminal records up again. That is, whilst the Coalition is in opposition. But cheap words cheapen lives. Demean our own. Not to be outdone on “sovereign borders” a high-sounding nonsense in the game of chicken that is our asylum-seeker debate in Question Time, Labor has already been forced into the squalid compromise of the ankle-bracelet.

Perhaps there’s a glimmer of hope. Demonising can be a vote winner. But not in Dunkley. It might have worked once for Howard and again for Abbott, who in turn fostered con-artist Morrison, who gave us his tough cop on the beat, while letting Mike Pezzullo take charge via intermediary Scott Briggs. For five years, Pezullo gave the orders. Not that Morrison has anything to atone for because his God forgives him. It’s in his valedictory speech. And Ley has still not retracted her women-assaulted-by-foreign-criminals tweet on X.

An increasingly rubbery figure, Ley easily wins most mobile face on a night of such jubilation and jocund hilarity you would swear that the Liberals had won. At least she’s fronted up. Eighty percent of success is showing up, Woody Allen reckons.

Delivery? Ley puts so much into it that it’s exhausting just to watch. Has she had elocution lessons from Michaelia Cash, the lip-reader’s friend? She somehow finds extra facial muscles to come up with the whopper of the night. Tonight’s swing will win us government.

You know, she knows it’s a monstrous lie by the way she moves her jaw. Like a python swallowing an ox.

Dunkley, take a bow. The electorate is still “reeling”, as the Canberra gallery loves to say – it’s what you do after “bracing” yourself – another favourite cliché. But there is no word for how you recover from a sordid, multi-million dollar, US-style shit-storm of lies, stunts, and slurs amidst the static of Ley’s disgraceful racism, pitched so low it sounds as if it’s scripted by a tipsy One Nation intern.

The high spending low-punching campaign of fear, hate and racism is new to Dunkley, where the exotic and the aberrant are mainstream but try not to make eye contact after dark, especially in Young Street, Beach Street and around the train station subway. Even unflappable, seasoned, seen-it-all-before Frankston has never seen this before.

Ley may be a contender for a door prize, but what really steals the show is Advance. The Liberals are outspent by their bag-men and women, the billionaire, dark money propaganda unit Advance. But unlike The Voice, this time, the punters are not buying it. Cynics would say that the stage three tax cut beat Advance to it – a negative campaign doesn’t do so well against money in your pocket. But this battle for the hearts and minds of Dunkley probably is its own worst enemy. More than overkill, there is a sterling failure to communicate. And it’s hard not to see the whole, baroque excess of the assault, as something out of Monty Python; a futile exercise in lurid self-parody.

Perhaps we can take heart in the defeat of billionaire-backed Advance’s hate-bombing saturation campaign of lies, aggressing voters; “hammering letter boxes” texting, in-your-Facebooking, tweeting and other anti-social media sledging and its fleet of Truth Trucks, the mother of all defamatory mobile billboards. One features Chinese president, Xi Jinping, voting Labor insinuating that our ALP is somehow a crypto-Communist party. But the billionaires are thrifty. It’s the same image Advance deployed in the 2022 federal election.

It’s a wonder they weren’t laughed out of town. Advance’s outrageous assault on truth, democracy and decency belongs in Trump’s America. It’s an import we don’t need and won’t heed, however much a group of tone-deaf billionaires want it. But, it won’t stop trying. As Dr Jeremy Walker points out, behind Advance is the Atlas foundation, a global network of over six hundred libertarian think tanks.

Advance is a shadowy group funded by billionaires, including Gina Rinehart, also a queen pin in the IPA’s opaque funding and the man who did so well out of pro-coal Coalition energy policy, Trevor St Baker. It easily outspends the million dollar plus Liberal budget. It played a key role in sabotaging The Voice, but in Dunkley, failed to reprise its undermining of established democratic processes. As far as we know. We need, nevertheless, to demand to know who is behind it and what it is up to. Anthony Klan reports for Michael West Media, that Advance is being investigated by The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) because of its peculiarly opaque ownership structure.

Just as worrying is Advance’s calculated misrepresentation as some type of grassroots movement, a concept which Advance has already capably seeded in a corporatised and monopolistic Australian MSM where you can hear your ABC selling it as just a right-wing equivalent of Get-Up or the Unions. Every channel has the same pitch. We are being sold a pig in a poke.

In the meantime, we are vulnerable to a powerful propaganda machine, which may be crude at this stage but which will certainly be capable of refining its techniques.

We need to know just how tightly Advance has bound itself to the Coalition. The negativity of the “Noalition’s” campaign is an alarm call. Forget policy, issues, leaders’ integrity or party achievements, the Dunkley by-election is reheated leftovers and the Coalition’s happy place – rapists, paedophiles all aboard Tampa Redux; Howard’s trump card, politics as theatre of cruelty.

And Anklegate. Much as there will be a scapegoat at hand, the fiasco raises such serious questions about the role of the police and the liaison between it and the Coalition that in a healthy democratic system, Peter Dutton and Sussan Ley would already have resigned.

Sending Labor its threadbare message is less a federal opposition than the remnants of Morrison’s divide and rule legacy, not so much a Liberal parliamentary party as ten separate factions, headed by a duo of desperadoes, Peter “Paladin’s Cave” Dutton and deputy Sussan Ley who resigned from “Fizza” Turnbull’s cabinet over her 2015 “impulse buying” of a $795,000 Main Beach, Gold Coast investment property -from a Liberal vendor and party donor, whilst a gullible nation paid her travel bill to fly to Wesley Hospital in Brisbane to list new medicines on the PBS list. As you do. Team Dutton has swallowed Trump’s playbook whole in its bid to get attention; its eagerness to embrace the dark arts of media manipulation, disinformation. Lying its head off.

Flooding the zone with shit, Steve Bannon calls it. In other words, as Mike Seccombe explains in The Saturday Paper:

“Make outrageous populist pronouncements and then wait for the mainstream media to report them. Inevitably the other side will seek to debunk them. Ed Coper, Ed Coper, CEO of progressive communications outfit Populares. calls it the “weaponisation of lies”.  

We should not be too startled by the right’s uptake of the tactics. Lying is a Liberal tradition. Wanton wastrel, a sterling pioneer in the politics of squander, John Winston Howard, took the proceeds of a mining boom and blew it on the middle class and the rich. Lied his eyebrows off over babies overboard to win the 2001 election. Howard is still lying about Saddam Hussein’s weapons of mass destruction. He “misled parliament” or lied to the house that our illegal attack of Iraq was constitutionally justified. He’d taken expert advice.

Failed priest, Tony Abbott, who crashed and burnt as PM because although he had the keys to the Lodge, he had no idea how to drive it, tipped off a startled nation in 2010 that you could only take as the “Gospel truth” stuff which he had written down.

But it’s not just the lies that paint Labor as an enemy of the people. Beneath the rabid dog-eat-dog, rancorous, hyper partisan, post-truth politics of our increasingly rattled right wing you can feel the fear and the desperation mounting. Link it with unlimited resources – and what could possibly go wrong?

Let’s put the band together. Supercharged with fear and the dark money of billionaires’ right-wing lobby mob, Advance, lead vocalist, Federal Coalition deputy-leader, Siren Sussan Ley, belts out her wog rapist in our midst shtick.  Her leader and stand over tactician for Xenophobes-R-Us Benito Dutton, currently in witness protection because Victorians hate him – is on percussion. The Big Lie is that Labor (rather than the High Court) has released 149 former indefinite detainees into the community, a Goebbels-type lie central to a campaign of primal fearmongering, racist dog-whistling in conjunction with his corporate media backers.

Forget the light on the hill, we are out in the paddock in the ute, at night, roo-shooting, but with “rapists, paedophiles and murderers” in the spotlight. And not just at home. In the world theatre, “human animals” are to be exterminated by zealots.

Dunkley is won by a woman dedicated to the empowerment of women; Jodie Belyea represents some of the best values which are part of Labor’s democratic, social justice, working class heritage. Her victory gives us hope.

On the Coalition’s side of the ledger of party politics appears a yawning chasm of moral deficit and at times comically incompetent leadership, a party ripe for exploitation by Advance, a sinister organisation with its own agenda masquerading as a popular, home-spun movement. This enemy of the people is controlled by a small group of powerful billionaires with international links. Beneath the theatre of the by-election and the alarming spectacle of the Liberal Party’s decline are symptoms of its capture by a secretive, self-interested cabal which warrant urgent, extensive and through investigation.

 

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Strategies for protecting Australian voters against digital disinformation campaigns

By Martha Knox-Haly  

From April 2023 to October 2023, Australian voters were subjected to an unprecedented social media disinformation campaign around the Voice to Parliament Referendum. The Voice to Government was supported by Scott Morrison in 2017, and it had enjoyed the steady support of the majority of Australian voters several years. The proposal was modest. It did not extend to a treaty, and there was no reason to suspect the Voice referendum would be controversial. Then in April 2023, the new coalition leader Peter Dutton signalled he was going to side with West Australian Liberals, and that he would campaign against the Coalition’s previous policy.

This was the cue for the launch of the ‘No campaign’ in April 2023. The associated digital disinformation campaign was unparalleled in intensity, spread and sophistication. The ultimate victims of the no campaign were amongst the most impoverished and marginalised Australians. The trashing of Indigenous dreams by wealthy donors was reprehensible. To date, these wealthy donors have not apologised for the spike in Indigenous suicide rates that occurred from April 2023. The No campaign claimed to champion free speech, but how can speech be free when discourse is the product of online manipulation and deceit? It was not the first time political actors had pursued digital disinformation campaigns, but it was the first time these strategies had succeeded.

How can Australian voters be protected against digital disinformation and attacks on democracy? A robust regulatory framework requires coercive powers. It needs to be able to combat disinformation from the point of initiation and within echo chambers. The framework needs to empower social media users and the associated regulatory institutions. Above all, the regulatory frameworks needs to be agile enough to make a difference in the tight time frames that exist around electoral activity.

The Albanese Government proposed amendments to the Broadcasting Act of 1992, strengthening the powers of the Australian Communications and Media Authority. Despite the proposed amendment containing many of the elements the Coalition Government had taken to the 2022 election, the Coalition’s response was predictably histrionic. There were assertions that the bill would establish ‘a ministry of truth’ and ‘was a threat to democracy’. In reality, the amendment bill provided ACMA with a modest increase in the power to gather information and maintain records about a social media platform’s responses to disinformation. ACMA was not given powers to force content to be taken down expeditiously, and it did not cover media organisations.

Coercive powers around the removal of content were reserved for the ‘e-safety commissioner.’ The ‘e-safety commissioner’ is concerned with protecting the rights of adults or children who are subject to abuse, and its scope does not extend to ensuring the safety of democratic electoral systems. Under the Online Safety Act 2021, online providers are required to develop codes of conduct, and the E-Safety Commissioner can pursue fines. Online providers are required to respond to the E-Safety Commissioner’s questions, and take down content. There is nothing about compliance audits of social media platforms, or promoting algorithmic transparency and sovreignty in either the Online Safety Act or the proposed ACMA amendments. These frameworks are complaints focused, and not designed to bring about systemic reform of social media providers.

There is a proposal to introduce new laws based on recommendations from the Commission into Robodebt. These recommendations are that all federal government agencies be transparent in explaining how algorithms and AI affect decision making processes. Unfortunately, these recommendations do not extend to online service providers.

The regulatory gap is a problem. The onus is on social media giants to be responsive to requests to remove offensive content. The platform owner’s personality can influence responsiveness. For example, former Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey was a programmer by background, and proactively managed the risks to elections. Regretfully Elon Musk, the current owner of X, dismantled the capacity for users to flag political disinformation during the referendum campaign.

The ACMA amendments permit the regulator to raise concerns with a platform, and investigate the platform’s self-regulatory process. If the self-regulatory processes of a platform are deemed inadequate, there are potential penalties and enforcement of a mandatory code of conduct. The emphasis is on providing the platform with as many opportunities as possible to take mitigating action before levying sanctions. The process is not in any sense fast moving or agile. There is nothing in the legislation around algorithmic sovereignty or opt outs from personalised recommendations. These are the very tools that a platform user needs to have to start creating an information ecosystem where disinformation is weeded out.

The European Union’s Digital Services Act provides an example of how social media users can be provided with these tools. On the 20th October 2023, the European Union adopted a delegated regulation under the Digital Services Act around compliance audits for what is referred to as very large online search platforms (VLOSP) and very large online search engines (VLOSE). The delegated regulation specified the role of independent auditors, who were required to use templates for implementation reports. In August 2023, Articles 34-48 of the Digital Services Act came into effect, with a range of compliance provisions, such as risk assessments, opt outs from personalised recommendations, algorithm transparency, data and access for researchers. The mandatory annual independent audit assesses compliance with these provisions, which are the basis for mandatory reports to the European Commission and Digital Services Coordinator. One notable weakness in the European Union delegated regulation is that auditors will be paid for by the companies they are auditing. The EU’s Digital Services Act is not an agile framework either. Importantly none of the regulatory frameworks in Australia or the EU is particularly effective at combating the formation of echo chambers, which are the repositories for disinformation.

Only technological solutions have the capacity to combat the lightning spread of disinformation. Examples of agile technology that could be incorporated into policy frameworks include BotSlayer, a software program designed by researchers at the University of Indiana. Botslayer detects the presence of coordinated disinformation campaigns through the use of bots. It is free software that can be used to monitor sudden suspicious spikes in activity. Another technological solution includes random dynamical nudges.

Researchers Curin, Vera and Khaledi-Nasab have explained that social media is built around the advertising culture of the ‘hyper-nudge’. This is a marketing technique of communicating identity-based messages that appeal to generating user consumer behaviours. This social media design feature is responsible for generating echo chambers. Curin and colleagues developed the concept of the random dynamical nudge, where social media users are presented with a random selection of other users’ opinions. Their research found that using random dynamical nudges led to consensus formation, rather than fragmentation of political discourse and formation of echo chambers.

Policy frameworks could mandate joint systematic monitoring by the Social Media Platform, ACMA and the AEC with the use of BotSlayer style software, with compulsory auditing for the dismantling of disinformation campaigns and deployment of random dynamical nudges around electoral promises. Regulating online platforms and providers is complex, but protecting democracy is worth the effort.

 

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More New Year Cheer with Momentum from Good Media Management: Revisiting the Press Conference-3 January

By Denis Bright

Nothing excites the electorate more than the voice of our leaders’ messages of hope over adversarial politics. Prime Minister Albanese has been busy consolidating with art in media releases over the holiday break.

The press conference in Sydney on 3 January 2024 was a sign-on for more duties that are usually beyond the scope of a Prime Minister:

Happy New Year everyone. In 2024 I’m very positive as we enter the new year. And later this morning I will be briefly attending the beginning of David Warner’s last test match at the SCG. And I do hope, if it hasn’t happened already, whoever knows anything about the missing caps – David Warner has represented Australia on more than one hundred occasions. The baggy green caps belong to him. He has earnt them and they should be returned.

The press conference continued to cover vital issues about living standards and skilling the nation. There was a promise of 300,000 fee-free TAFE places during 2024. The MYEFO spirit continued with a promise of more commitment to cost-of-living-relief in the 2024-25 budget scheduled for 9 May.

What a contrast to the political statements from Prime Minister Morrison exactly two years ago. In a live interview from Kirribilli House to Sarah Abo on the Today Show, discussion moved to the leadership skills of then Opposition Leader Anthony Albanese:

Well, he’s always full of complaints after the fact. I’ve found with the Leader of the Opposition. He’s like that person on the Monday morning who always says what the coach should have done and what all the players have done. But you know, I don’t think you want that bloke running the team at any time.

The current press conference marginalized adversarial politics. Responding to a journalist’s questions Prime Minister Albanese offered New Year on several fronts:

What we want is to take pressure off people who are feeling pressure as a result of global inflation. This has had an impact. Australians, of course, were hit by the pandemic and then they were hit by global inflation, which was a result of two global impacts. One was the ongoing supply issues related to the pandemic, and the second of course, was the illegal Russian invasion of Ukraine that had an impact on prices here as they did right around the world. So, we’re very conscious about those cost-of-living pressures. That’s why we have introduced a range of measures, including fee-free TAFE, but in addition to that, our energy price relief plan, our plan that has made an enormous difference in reducing the price of medicines. That’s why we’ve also undertaken increases in rent relief, for example, the largest increase in rent assistance for 30 years, along with other measures that we took assisting single mums, assisting others.

Peter Dutton as Opposition Leader received just one mention from the Prime Minister at the press conference and in response to a journalist’s question:

JOURNALIST: Did you reflect over the break over any changes you would like to see in the way the Government operates in the New Year?

PRIME MINISTER: We continue to engage in a positive way. We’ll continue to put forward our positive plans for the nation. Continue to point out that Peter Dutton has no solutions and nothing positive to offer the nation.

More mention of the Opposition or the Opposition leader merely fosters a return to unproductive pollical polemics. This outcome would be detested in households, comfortably-off and disadvantaged alike. The recovery of Labor’s primary vote would be inhibited.

Having outperformed on budget estimates from May 2023 as recorded in MYEFO 2023, the Labor Government can perhaps consider more generous cost-of-living relief measures. Some review of the rate of delivery of Stage 3 tax concession might even be possible. Fully implemented on the Morrison Government’s formula would cost around $69 billion over the forward estimates period (to 2026-27), and around $313 billion over the medium-term projection period (to 2033-34) according to ATO estimates. Adjustments for bracket creep can still be accommodated at the lower end of the taxable income stage where households deserve a 30 per cent income tax rate.

Most voters would surely welcome a review of the background to Australia’s commitment to the Iraq War in 2003 which brought thousands of Australia’s out onto the streets in protest in 2003. Prime Minister Albanese cautiously did not pre-empt the results of the inquiry chaired by Dennis Richardson:

I do want to make some comments about the release of documents that takes place every twenty years. The process there is that documents are provided to the National Archives of Australia three years in advance. So, the documents for what occurred in 2003 were provided in 2020 by the then Morrison Government to the National Archives of Australia. It’s clear that there were some Cabinet records missing from that transfer from the Government. Some 78 Cabinet records were not transferred to the National Archives. The public service has now, within days of being notified of that, provided the remaining documents to the Archives, and the head of the Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet has commenced an independent review that will be conducted by Dennis Richardson, as to how this failure in 2020 to provide all the appropriate documentation occurred. Let me make it very clear of what my government’s position is. Australians have a right to know the basis upon which Australia went to war in Iraq. Australians lost their lives during that conflict and we know that some of the stated reason for going to war was not correct in terms of the weapons of mass destruction that was alleged Iraq had at that time. Australians do have a right to know what the decision-making process was, and my Government believes that this mistake must be corrected, that the National Archives of Australia should release all the documentation that has been provided to them, having account for any national security issues, of course, upon the advice of the national security agencies.

Unless more investigative journalism is hastened on the background to the LNP’s AUKUS defence deal in 2021, readers will need to wait until the early 2040s before details just maybe available of the background to the nuclear-powered submarine acquisitions.

The AUKUS deal was announced in an imperious style on 16 September 2021 with the imprimatur of Scott Morrison, Boris Johnson and Joe Biden. The statement offered strategic aspirations without details of forthcoming contracts an advanced warning about future costs. Later Australian government officially estimates the cost of the program to be between $268 billion and $368 billion over the next 30 years. These far-ranging estimates include:

  • Acquisition of submarines: Purchasing at least eight nuclear-powered submarines, either directly from the US or built in Australia with US and UK assistance.
  • Infrastructure and facilities: Upgrading existing facilities and building new ones to support the operation and maintenance of the submarines.
  • Operational costs: Fuel, crew training, and ongoing maintenance throughout the lifespan of the submarines.

The press conference on 3 January 2024 provides just a peek into the need for more openness in government processes. The media team handled this press conference with outstanding professionalism. The complex issues were communicated in stages after that less than nerdy reference to David Warner’s stolen cricket cap. Perhaps the chase is a negative metaphor against unnecessary secrecy in government.

Can this openness ease the current fragmentation shown by recent national opinion polling? Currently, support for the Greens is completely offset by preferences from far-right parties back to the LNP?

Perhaps the solutions require much more than offering a higher standard of new clips to promote a more thorough understanding of the processes of government so that populist whims and soft media discussions do not determine outcomes relating to living standards and Australia’s stamp in geopolitics.  

Denis Bright (pictured) is a financial member of the Media, Entertainment and Arts Alliance (MEAA). Denis is committed to consensus-building in these difficult times. Your feedback from readers advances the cause of citizens’ journalism. Full names are not required when making comments. However, a valid email must be submitted if you decide to hit the Replies Button.

 

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After 18 months of waiting to be born again, people of ‘so-called intelligence’ believe Dutton will win the next election

Within my social media circle and in the news reporting I read, there is growing support for the view that Dutton and the LNP are ripe to win the next election.

This assumption is based on views that Labor has done nothing about the cost of living or that Prime Minister Albanese travels too much and interest rates are too high. Of course, our debt needs to be lowered; asylum seekers should never have been released, and we need to spend more on infrastructure. You can add to that the cost of renting, and more houses need to be built.

Andrew Bolt is certainly confident of a Labor loss (isn’t he always?): 

“The Coalition under Peter Dutton could actually win the next election.”

He then advised they needed a reshuffle and suggested they bring back former prime minister Scott Morrison. Yes, he did. Check it out. It really is difficult to take Andrew Bolt seriously.

Or Shadow Attorney General Michaelia Cash, who says that:

“… the Government’s handling of the High Court overturning indefinite detention proves they are ‘hopelessly’ out of their depth.”

Right-wing columnist Gerard Henderson, writing for The Australian (paywalled) was quick to blow Dutton’s trumpet:

“Despite all the naysayers decrying his decision for the Liberals to campaign against the voice, Peter Dutton has been vindicated and is looking strong in the lead up to the next election.”

These astonishing predictions came after The Voice Referendum and Labor’s decision to let some refugees with bad records into the community following a high court decision and before the Court gave its reasons. 

Is it possible that at this time in the election cycle, the Coalition is indeed in a position to win in 2025? My first reaction is to say, “no chance”. After all, it was only a short time ago that Morrison lost on May 21 2022, after almost a decade of corruption, immorality, disgrace, continuous scandals, poor leadership, and lying. Keeping up with all the controversy and poor decisions was a daily grind: Lack of action on climate change, a poor response to the pandemic and the tragedy behind Robo debt are just a few. 

Is the electorate ready to forgive them and return the same people to office within one term? In normal circumstances, you would say no; they wouldn’t, but I confess, we live in strange times. 

Let’s look at where people say Labor is vulnerable, remembering we are some ways out from the next election.

1. The subs deal (a Morrison leftover) has been unpopular. Only time will tell by how much, and there is lots of it. I also disagree with this decision. However, I don’t think it is a front-of-mind issue.

2. Regarding the next tax breaks (another Morrison leftover), people think the money could be better spent other than handing money back to the wealthy. But to break a promise of such enormity. A broken promise for the greater good takes guts. Do it, Albo.

 

 

Make some big decisions. Negative gearing is nothing more than a tax rort for wealthy investors that reduces housing affordability. Get rid of it.

3. The cost of living. Coles, Woolworths and others control the cost of living more than any government. Fuel is controlled by external forces. Allow more competition.

4. High interest rates. No government controls interest rates. It is as accurate as that.

5. Albo travels too much. It is in our own interest that he does. It has also been shown that he travels roughly the same – or less- as other recent PMs. Most of it has been restoring the damage done by the previous Government. China, in particular. Labor has restored our trade, which was almost destroyed by Morrison. Climate Change and Energy Minister Chris Bowen will attend the COP 28 Meeting in December.

6. Release of asylum seekers. The Government obeyed the High Court of Australia. The Court has yet to release its reasons for the decision. The legislation passed thus far could be more explicit but can only be so once their reasons are known.

Further news on this story was exposed in The Guardian on November 21. Five of the 93 people affected by this month’s high court decision on indefinite detention had already been released into community detention by the Coalition.

7. Cost of renting. A carryover problem from the Morrison Government. A decade of doing nothing.

8Build more housing. But both are being addressed, if not to everyone’s satisfaction.

9. Spend more on infrastructure. Yes, but now is not the time. It would make inflation much worse.

10. The Voice referendum. It was a bad loss and poorly sold, but it isn’t an election breaker. The conservatives not only destroyed “The Voice” but also any chance of us ever becoming a republic.

11. The economy. In answer to a question during Question Time, the Prime Minister said:

“Let’s compare our economy, I’m asked about international comparisons of our economy and how it’s going,” “Our unemployment rate is 3.6 – lower than what we inherited; our participation rate is 66.7 – higher than what we inherited; our gender pay gap is 13 – lower than what we inherited.”

Mr Albanese said manufacturing jobs and women employed full-time were higher than what was “inherited”. His time expired.

And let’s remember the enormous debt Morrison left behind.

Labor’s record in office so far might appear bland, but a glimpse at their website tells a different story.

For example, on November 23, Albanese announced his government would “rapidly expand investment schemes for clean energy projects.”

i. Robodebt. People will be reminded that somebody must be responsible. Who might it be? Scott Morrison, Marise Payne, Malcolm Turnbull, Alan Tudge, Christian Porter and/or Stuart Robert?

How damaging would it be during an election campaign?

Would you again put the same people in charge of policies similar to Robodebt?

ii. Many other Cases are before the NACC:

“146 referrals are pending triage. 53 referrals are currently in active triage, and 181 referrals that have been triaged are currently under assessment.”

Some, like Robodebt, will be open to the public. So, a constant stream of bad news stories will emerge from the NACC.

iii. Despite current events, Peter Dutton is still the best thing Labor has going for it. Outside of being tough on immigration, he has little going for him. A personality transplant might be a good idea. He carries a load of baggage.

iv. The Guardian Essential Survey of November 14 showed Australia at its pessimistic best, but I suspect this pessimism will have a brighter smile by the time of the election. Most people felt Australia should stay out of trouble between the superpowers and the war in the Middle East.

Most folks surveyed thought interest rates would go up again and rent would continue to rise. The price of petrol is decided overseas and not by our government.

The new social cohesion report released around the same time was also “sobering“. Katherine Murphy reports that:

“After the polarising voice referendum campaign, amid rising community tensions over the Middle East war and sustained anxiety about the economy, shows little appetite for frivolity. 

v. This same apathetic view of the world, like rust, is spreading throughout the community. From its governing position, Labor is well-placed to combat the conservatives’ attacks on institutions and the future of life as we know it.

Importantly, continues Murphy, this:

“… new research suggests many Liberal and National voters are in a severe funk now Labor is in power. 

“The number of people in this cohort who say they are pessimistic or very pessimistic about Australia’s future also increased by 27 points.”

If that’s what their supporters think about the future, I wonder what they think of Dutton as a leader. Is he just another Abbott, good at spewing out negative thought bubbles but never able to transition to Prime Minister?

The LNP is a coalition of political parties that took an extraordinary toll, over almost a decade, on our institutions and democracy. They are nothing more than a coalition of capitalistic shysters more interested in the top than those in need and have never apologised for the most deplorable period of governance in Australian political history. For example, see this list of lies that Scott Morrison told during his tenure as Prime Minister. Then there is this list of Peter Dutton’s lies about The Voice.

Am I to believe that the LNP under Dutton, without even a climate change or energy policy, will right all their wrongs when they didn’t even confess to Robodebt (or all the other falsehoods and acts of corruption)? Are they really a serious contender to become our next government after only 18 months?

Many conservatives believe that they have the power to shape society in a way that benefits the elite. They see themselves as the superior class, adhering to the principle of the aristocracy or the ‘betters’. They believe that they are natural leaders and the best suited to rule. They feel entitled to all the benefits that society creates as a reward for their superiority.

Considering that we live in a more complex and scientifically advanced world than ever, it seems unrealistic to expect the LNP, with its Luddite principles, to guide us through these complexities. Since the May 21, 2022 election, Labor has been busy correcting the mistakes made by Abbott, Turnbull, and Morrison. Fixing the country’s economy may take years.

Sorry, I cannot swallow this nonsense. Andrew, Michaelia and Gerard should get a grip on themselves.

Anyway, Coalition strategists would know victory next time for them is a huge ask. First-term governments federally very rarely lose.

My thought for the day

One of the oddities of political polling is trying to understand how 50% of the voting public would willingly return to a party that governed so abysmally.

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Why Qld Seats like Oodgeroo or Bowman may flip towards a 3rd Option: Eventually! A gauge of what’s to come?

By Callen Sorensen Karklis  

Given the state of federal and state politics in Australia and Qld, it’s hard to see the trend towards Teal independents and Greens as an alternative to the major parties phasing out anytime soon. 1 in 3 Australian voters voted for other options. In fact, in Qld the Greens won three seats: Ryan, Brisbane, and Griffith, and two seats from the LNP and one from Labor. The Greens are on track to maintain a strong vote in the Brisbane City Council elections in 2024, most likely on track to win wards in Walter Taylor, Paddington, Brisbane Central and well enough to give a good showing in the Coorparoo, Hamilton, Enoggera, and Holland Park wards. And most likely to do well in these same areas on a state level in the upcoming state election as Annastacia Palaszczuk struggles to get re–elected for a fourth term having been in power since 2015.

But that said, while the Greens may do well in Brisbane which is becoming the heartland of the Qld’s new Greensland around progressive middle-class and younger working-class voters, it will be interesting to see how the LNP track in areas outside of Brisbane – which are likely to flip from Labor to the LNP given current polling projections. In North Qld it’s a contest between the major parties and the Katter Party. But let’s play hypotheticals for future election cycles given the results of 2022.

In outer suburban areas where the moderate middle-class are crying out for a third option, however, I dare say in future elections after a future coalition government there could be the very real chance of a Green or Teal winning seats on the bayside like Bowman or even Bonner. Perhaps one day in my millennial lifetime as younger voters are starting to vote in droves away from the traditional two–party system. As much as Labor can fight the good fight on social issues it has begun to sink its base in a quagmire of an identity crisis with working-class voters looking to more left- or right-wing options due to increasing cost of living issues, housing, interest rates, and fuel prices. With younger voters’ key issues are climate change, struggling economically, and while fighting on social justice issues.

Let’s take the history of a seat like Bowman; I know full well how people voted in this federal seat for the past 10 years (that’s 4 election cycles in that time). I was also a Branch executive for 4 years in a former Labor Party branch in this year working under former Labor MPs, City Councillors, trade unionist, and branch– rank–and file with years of campaign experience. And in 2020 during the state election I assisted a Teal campaign in Oodgeroo. Bowman by 2025 will have been held by the LNP for 21 years, while three of its state seats by 2024 are Labor while one is LNP.

  • Capalaba = Labor Safe seat (held by Don Brown) 9.9% ALP
  • Springwood = Labor Safe seat (held by Mick De Brenni) 8.3% ALP
  • Redlands = Bellwether seat currently held by Labor (held by Kim Richards) 3.9% ALP
  • Oodgeroo = LNP currently held (held by Mark Robinson) 4.5% LNP (once a Bellwether)

Current Bowman’s electoral history since 1969 (redistributions):

The more current version of Bowman which also included Bonner from 1969–2004 was held by the following people and parties since 1969:

  • Len Keogh, Labor: 1969 – 1975
  • David Jull, Coalition: 1975 – 1983
  • Len Keogh, Labor: 1983 – 1987 (2nd stint)
  • Con Sciacca, Labor: 1987 – 1996
  • Andrea West, Coalition: 1996 – 1998
  • Con Sciacca, Labor: 1998 – 2004 (2nd stint)
  • Andrew Laming, Coalition: 2004 – 2022
  • Henry Pike, Coalition: 2022 – 2025

It was 25 years of Labor in public office in the area, while the LNP has been in office for 31 years. Prior to this the only time Labor held office once (James Sharpe in 1913–1917) in this area because Bowman had only become suburban due to development in the late 1960s. Prior to this it was a rural conservative area for 52 years. It was briefly held by Protectionist Richard Edwards – aligned with Labor during the liberal progressive Barton/Deakin governments of early federation – until Edwards sided with the Anti Socialist in 1906. Mind you, that was the era of introducing White Australia but they gave women the vote and set up the Australian public service. It’s safe to say Bowman was a bellwether seat for a good 40 years until 2007–2010 but despite this interesting pattern of the electoral map are showing something that both the major parties should be concerned about.

 

Anti–Bridge to Stradbroke Island campaign in the late 1970s – early/mid 1980s (cartoon)

 

Anti-Straddie Bridge campaigners in the 1980s

Shift to Greens and Teals in Oodgeroo

Although the Redlands City area has not seen any elected public officials represent the Greens party formally (as the Greens were only established as a party in 1991, 32 years ago), there have been elected City Crs who represented interests in line with modern day Greens in several key areas: Namely in the Stradbroke Island, Cleveland, Wellington Pt, and Ormiston areas. There has been Elanor Durbidge in 1969-1973 for the former ward of North Stradbroke Island then known as division 4. Durbidge would later help prominent Aboriginal rights activist Oodgeroo Noonucle (Kath Walker) fight to stop the bridge to Stradbroke Island in the late 1970s and found the group SIMO with residents who endorsed Cr Jenny Cook Bramley (1988-1991). Then there was Independent Betty Groom who was the Cleveland Cr who served for a year and a half (1991-1992) who fought on transparency and environmental protection as well as Geoff Skinner (1982-1988) in Wellington Pt and Ormiston who fought to protect wetlands from overdevelopment on environmental grounds during his time in office and his wife who succeeded him in office, Sue Skinner (1988-1997).

From 2004 until 2015 since the Greens first contested the old state electorate of Cleveland (now Oodgeroo) they held 7–8.8% of the vote. This was roughly between 1908-2263 votes. During the 2015 Qld State Election this is when things became interesting in Cleveland. The Greens vote increased to 3,795 votes up +4.47% (12.04% of the primary vote) when small businesswoman Amanda White ran for their ticket. Whether this was due to the mismanagement of state ALP party office resources into more seats beyond just targeted seats or lacklustre candidates like Tracey Huges from Labor could be a factor. A real shame considering that it was a Labor seat from 1989–2006 when Darryl Briskey and Phil Weightman were MPs.

Conservative born-again Mark Robinson (an ex-biologist) won the seat in 2009 which is ironic considering the Toondah PDA issue. The LNP held onto this seat. In 2017 the Greens vote gradually climbed to 13.7% of the vote by 3,812 votes when army veteran Brad Scott contested for the Greens. Things further became interesting when Teal Claire Richardson contested the election in 2020 securing 21.48% of the vote with 6,349 votes, with the Greens going back down to pre 2004 levels at 1,575 votes at 5.33%.

Labor failing to gain ground on this seat on 8,231 votes and 13,458 votes on TPP. This all up with Labor, Teal, and Greens votes combined was 14,580 votes if preferences flowed. Factors like Labor running a dud candidate with not much support off the back of a wave resources funnelled to sandbagging key seats and gaining others off the back of the pandemic was key to the LNP holding the seat.

Despite this its key to understanding a growing trend in this area of disenfranchisement with the two–party system growing gradually particularly in Oodgeroo. A big factor in the gradual shift has been how the issues of transition of sand mining on North Stradbroke Island to tourism on North Stradbroke Island as well as the Toondah Harbor PDA issue have both been handled playing a big part on the mainland of Cleveland.

TEAL candidate Claire Richardson with family and supporters during the 2020 race on the (right).

Toondah Harbour PDA Ramsar proposal as per Claire Richardson’s advertisement of what Walker Corp proposed (below).

The Toondah issue was a key factor in Claire Richardson’s local and state campaigns.

 

 

The Decline of the ALP Vote in Bowman

By 21 years Bowman would have been held by the LNP. In 2007 ALP candidate Jason Young secured 41,009 votes compared to the LNP’s 41,073 making it Australia’s most marginal seat during the 2007 Rudd landslide. And in Labor’s 2022 Federal election win under Albanese ALP candidate Donisha Duff only secured 44.5% of the vote compared to the LNP on 55.5% (despite the antics of former MP Laming).

 Gradual shift to Greens in Bowman:

  • 2007 = 4,475 votes (5.45%)
  • 2010 = 8,174 votes (9.97%)
  • 2013 = 5,198 votes (5.98%)
  • 2016 = 9,012 votes (9.76%)
  • 2019 = 11,795 votes (11.99%)
  • 2022 = 13, 241 votes (13.02%)

The Toondah campaign has also played a significant impact and role in the rise of the Greens vote since 2016–2022. Particularly as they have become more vocal and visible at community rallies and protest the development, with thousands of people in attendance. Former Bowman candidate Ian Mazlin and Senator Allman Payne with protesters (below):

 

 

 

Reasons for the Gradual Shifts in Voting?

  • Toondah Harbour PDA Ramsar wetlands issue
  • Cost of living crisis
  • Rising rates costs (Redlands pays highest CPI levels in SEQ)
  • Climate change concerns
  • Concerns for green spaces and towards overdevelopment
  • Rising Interest rates
  • Less funding towards essential services and community groups
  • Housing and affordability crisis
  • Increasing demands for fuel
  • Changing demographics in the geographic area
  • Voters want more transparency and accountability in all levels of government
  • Less jobs in the area, changing economic conditions in retail and industrial sectors
  • Growing disillusionment with the two-party system and major parties
  • Less people are turning out to vote and more apathetic to the political process.

We could be seeing the start of a gradual shift with younger and future generational voters towards parties and candidates being elected to office who aren’t necessarily from the old school major party tickets. We could be seeing the start of Labor needing to govern either in a position of supply with either federal or state government without the ability to govern in the majority more and more. With repeats of the 2010–2013 Gillard Labor/Greens agreement more and more likely or Albanese and the Teals/Greens in 2022–2025. This might enhance democracy, rather than hinder it as some claim and warn. Ironically the neoliberal reforms of the Hawke/Keating and Howard governments regardless of party may have disengaged voters more gradually over time due to the harmful impacts of it long term. Neoliberalism has created more disparity, the trade union movement has shrunk in OECD nations such as Australia, and voters are less trusting as privatized corporates have left many out in the elements as many institutional state entities have been gradually sold off. This makes elections particularly more volatile with coalitions between parties and political actors and minority governments more likely. As voters are turning to alternatives hence the rise of populism on the far left and right of the spectrum as well, namely Trumpism in the US.

 

The Rise of the Teal Independents in Redland City Council

On current numbers in Redland City Council there is only one remaining Labor Cr left of what was once an influential base representing the Labour movement and working class. There is now 6 LNP Crs in majority of what has been a City Council mostly dominated 61 years of its history. With one conservative Mayor siding with Labor in a rare coalition to achieve bipartisanship by putting residents first due to his close relationship with then Labor federal MP for the area Con Sciacca and his allies. Both Sciacca and Santagiuliana both had commonality due to their Sicilian descent. Two other Mayors of progressive calibre in office. One Labor; another Independent but aligned with Labor’s interests. Aside from mostly Tory rule Redlands has seen:

  1. Len Keogh: 1991 – 1994 (Labor)
  2. Eddie Santagiuliana: 1994 – 2001 (in Coalition with Labor)

(with Labor Cr Ray Bucknall as his deputy from 1997 – 2000)

  1. Melva Hobson: 2008 – 2012 (Labor aligned Independent)

The Rise and Fall of the ALP in Local Government

In the 1900s–1940s the former Tingalpa Shire Council was mostly Labor aligned due to farming interests backed in with the policies of the then Labor State government. The former Cleveland Shire Council aligned more with the non–Labor conservative side of politics. The farmers of Tingalpa would gradually fall out with Labor over the amalgamation of both Cleveland and Tingalpa Shire council into Redland Shire Council in 1949.

For 18–20 years the ALP was in the political wilderness in Redlands in local government as the Cold War scare mixed in with the supremacy of the National Party converting farming interests which was most of the Redlands for that time, but amid social change and development of the spread of suburban sprawl during the Whitlam era. In 1970 the Labor Party actually ran a ticket in Redlands Shire Council for the first time, winning one seat and again in 1973 securing five seats as an Opposition party led by Capalaba Cr John Bonney from 1973–mid 1970s. Bonney fell out with the ALP over party infighting over a union dispute to do with a business he held shares in. Both Cr George Nothling and Fiedler representing NSI served on the Health Committee as Chair having a hand in the establishment of Redlands Hospital.

The ALP vote decreased to two seats during 1979–1982, then rose to three in 1982–1985, then held out until it decreased to two in 1988–1991, then four during the Keogh administration in 1991–1994 when Whitlam/Hawke era Labor MP Keogh became Mayor, then three in 1994–1997, and four from 1997–2004, three in 2004–2008, and then four in 2008–2012. The height of Labor’s power in Council was during the Hobson era when former Labor aligned Crs held out until 2012 during the bitter days of the Bligh asset sales, and council amalgamations which fortunately didn’t affect the Redlands Council but left a bad taste in voters’ mouths. This saw anybody with any remote involvement with Qld Labor Premier Bligh and Hobson voted out in a landslide in 2012. This saw Labor’s vote fall consistently to two seats from 2012–2020 and then one remaining seat with Cr Tracey Hughes after the 2020 council elections.

This was in part due to Labor Party aligned Crs moving away from opposition to the Toondah PDA to supporting it which led to more support of Teal aligned Independent Crs. This was why once safe seats to Labor in local government in Capalaba were gained by a Teal. Voters felt let down by the ALP on environmental, overdevelopment and increasing cost of living issues.

Current make up of Redland City Council (2020 – 2024):

Current Teal Incumbents: 4 TEAL

  • Lance Hewlett
  • Wendy Boglary
  • Paul Bishop (former actor on Blue Heelers)
  • Adelia Berridge

Major Party Incumbents: (ALP and LNP): 1 ALP + 6 LNP

  • Tracey Huges (Labor)
  • Paul Golle (LNP)
  • Rowanne McKenzie (LNP)
  • Mark Edwards (LNP)
  • Peter Mitchell (LNP)
  • Julie Talty (LNP)
  • Karen Williams (LNP)

The teal phenomenon I would argue has been occurring under the radar for decades with sparks going as far back as the late 1980s–early 1990s. It just didn’t get traction until the 2022 federal election with widespread media attention of Climate 200’s endorsed candidates six Lower House seats federally and one senate seat. Despite the Climate 200 not endorsing candidates on a local level I would argue Teal–ism independents supporting transparency issues and environmental and cost of living issues has been under the radar gradually emerging as a third way option breaking into the mainstream gradually. This has been the reason why four Independents have become the formal opposition of the LNP in Redlands rather than the former ALP oppositions in past decades.

Two of these Crs have also become Deputy Mayor on two occasions during 2016–2020. Wendy Boglary in 2016–2018 and Lance Hewlett in 2018-2020. The same could be said for other regional or suburban areas across Australia. The ALP has forgotten how to campaign to local government which could have long lasting impacts on their future long term electoral success potential, the same could be said of the LNP. The rise of Teals in Redlands could be a good thing for the City overall in the long term if their success maintains gradually over time, especially if a mayor was elected in 2024. The same could be said of the Greens, winning city council wards in BCC during 2024 council elections. People don’t want major party-political players running power games and cabals. Could the developing trend of voters turning towards centre-left and moderate progressive Independents as an alternative to the ALP in past decades be a key indicator of how people may vote in both state and federal elections? I would argue yes, it is particularly if voters don’t believe their concerns on the following issues aren’t addressed:

  • Overdevelopment
  • Environment
  • Transparency
  • Accountability
  • Cost–of–living.

It’s clear that the major parties have forgotten the most basic principles “It’s the economy stupid!?” and Roads, Rates, Rubbish!

2020 Local Government TPP election results:

  • Claire Richarson (TEAL) = 49.11% TPP
  • Karen Williams (LNP) = 50.89% TPP

2020 Local Government Primary election results:

  • David Curtin (ALP) = 14.56%
  • Claire Richardson (TEAL) = 40.75%
  • Karen Williams (LNP) = 44.7%

It’s safe to say infighting on the progressive side and the tug of war between climate turned extinction rebellion activist ex-Labor member David Curtin between Claire Richardson did cost the progressives dearly as the LNP just scrapped through enough to hold Mayor but win a majority on Council as well.

2020 Local Government 2020 Election RCC

 

 

The 2020 Local Government election was the first time a Teal ran with no affiliations to any former ALP Cr on their ticket which occurred when 2008 Mayoral candidate Melva Hobson ran. Hobson ran in alliance with independent progressives and Labor and former Labor affiliated Crs elected in coalition with her, although Independent. In 2020 Richardson ran on her own platform unaligned and allied with mutual independent Cr interests.

Local Government Election TPP 2020 RCC

 

 

The strongest indicator of a TEAL possibly doing well in a future Bowman division election for the House of Representatives is on a federal level, ncluding the Oodgeroo State Election in 2020 which could have flipped if preferences flowed consistently but with the Covid–19 pandemic occurring during this cycle may have had an effect due to governments in power statistically doing better during a time of crisis. In the event of a normal state election without the backdrop of an international or domestic crisis, a Teal or Greens candidate could become competitive in the state seat of Oodgeroo potentially.

Oodgeroo State Electorate 2020 Qld State Election

 

 

Lessons for a Future Teal Mayor?

There are lessons for an Independent Mayoral candidate like Jos Mitchell running in the current race. Running on a Teal platform, she could well win based on the recent statistical voting patterns in recent years. Namely analysing the achievements of Keogh, Santagiuliana, and Hobson would be key, as well as studying and scrutinizing the lessons of longevity that effected the Tories in long cycles in government time and again. Every Mayor or their deputy has had a key crowning achievement from their time in office. There has only been 14 years of progressives in office in Redlands. Much of which mirrored similar policies to Jim Soorley’s Labor administration in 1991–2003 where he advocated strongly for Brisbane City Council (BCC) to cater for an emphasis on customer service for ratepayers. I would personally rate the best of the RSC/RCC Mayors as Santagiuliana, Keogh, Hobson, followed by Wood, Price, and Gengrich.

  1. Keogh era (1991 – 1994)
  • Reorganized Council to be more customer service focused.
  • Established environmental policies – purchased environmental sensitive land.
  • Habitat protection areas and tree protection bylaws in place
  • Planning for Capalaba Library and Council facilities established.
  1. Santagiuliana/Bucknall era (1994 – 2001)
  • Kerbside recycling
  • Improved pensioner subsidy level
  • Improved public transport for bus travel locally.
  • Oversaw the construction of Capalaba Library and Shopping Centre
  • Recognition of native land in 1997 agreement
  • Ensured conservation of Redlands green spaces and ecosystem.
  1. Hobson era (2008 – 2012)
  • Improved customer service
  • Worked with State and Federal Government stimulus GFC.
  • Implemented the Redlands 2030 community plan.
  • Native Title Act with State Labor Government introduced.
  • Upgraded the Redlands Performing Arts Centre.

For the Tories in power, it was Price (1949–1961) making the Redlands the fruit bowl of Qld, for Wood (1961–1982) it was keeping the railway secure while maintaining farmers rights, while for Gengrich (1982–1991) it was developing the controversial Raby Bay canal estates on once sensitive wetlands while working with Joh Bjelke Petersens National Party government to electrify the Cleveland railway, but also the Redlands Performing Arts. It’s hard, however, to determine actual policy results for the more recent LNP placeholders in power from the Secombe aside from his one saving grace the Redlands Arts Gallery, and William’s eras aside from continual overdevelopment and cutting of red tape amid scandals like the drink driving fiasco earlier this year with very little policy initiatives achieved.

List of References: see election result stats via ECQ and AEC.

Electoral Commission Qld. 2008. Redland City Council – Mayoral Election – Election Summary.<https://results.ecq.qld.gov.au/elections/local/lg2008/RedlandCityCouncil/results/Mayoral/summary.html> accessed 08 September 2021.

Redlands City Council. 2010. Government of the Redlands: Redland Shire Council/Redland City Council Chair/mayors, councillors, shire clerks/chief executive officers. June 1949 – 2010. <https://web.archive.org/web/20110329181154/http://www.redland.qld.gov.au/SiteCollectionDocuments/_About_Redlands/History/People_Places/RSCcouncillors_1949_Jan2010.pdf> accessed 6/11/2023

Shields, T. 2022. Voter turnout in the 2022 federal election hit a new low, threatening our democratic tradition. Australian Institute. <https://australiainstitute.org.au/post/voter-turnout-in-the-2022-federal-election-hit-a-new-low-threatening-our-democratic-tradition/> accessed 6/11/2023

Smee, B. 2020. Queensland election’s ‘parallel with Warringah’: why independent Claire Richardson could topple LNP incumbent. QLD election 2020. The Guardian < https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2020/oct/29/queensland-election-warringah-independent-claire-richardson-lnp-mark-robinson> assessed 6/11/2023

Callen Sorensen Karklis, Bachelor of Government and International Relations.

Callen is a Quandamooka Nunukul Aboriginal person from North Stradbroke Island. He has been the Secretary of the Qld Fabians in 2018, and the Assistant Secretary 2018 – 2019, 2016, and was more recently the Policy and Publications Officer 2020 – 2021. Callen previously was in Labor branch executives in the Oodgeroo (Cleveland areas), SEC and the Bowman FEC. He has also worked for Cr Peter Cumming, worked in market research, trade unions, media advertising, and worked in retail. He also ran for Redland City Council in 2020 on protecting the Toondah Ramsar wetlands. He also advised the Oodgeroo Teal campaign in 2020. Callen is active in Redlands 2030, the Redlands Museum, and his local sports club at Victoria Pt Sharks Club. Callen also has a Diploma of Business and attained his tertiary education from Griffith University. He was a co-host from time to time on Workers Power 4ZZZ (FM 102.1) on Tuesday morning’s program Workers Power. He has also worked in government. Callen is now a Qld State Council delegate for the Redland Greens.

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Are you being manipulated or just a victim of all the propaganda?

In my 10+ years writing for The AIMN, the world has changed significantly. Governments worldwide have shifted to the right or have other undemocratic systems, from forms of grey communism to outright dictatorships.

The rise in the advocacy of female equality is fighting a brave fight, while men are blindly chasing everything narcissism offers. But are we becoming better nations, more caring, more equal, more just and less corrupt? 

In Australia, I care about how we are managed as a society, including those things necessary for social cohesion. All communities are controlled by laws, systems or regulations, including the philosophy of whatever party is in power at the time.

The word ‘manipulated’ is used repeatably in my text to emphasise the point, so read on and please contribute to the comments section.

I contend that the world changed significantly in the period of Margaret Thatcher and Ronald Reagan. There was an abrupt turn to the right of politics, which worsened people’s lives. The conservatives within their parties sprang into action and also headed to the right. When one looks back, it not only changed our lives, but it opened the doors to mass manipulation.

In debating some of the following issues with colleagues and friends, I have also noticed and agree with the observation that:

“… the Fox [and Sky] viewership is marked by a sort of collective personality disorder whereby the viewer feels almost like they’ve been let into a secret society.”

In the US, President Reagan took away responsibility for social services from the Government budget and gave the money to the churches to do what the bureaucracy did. Religion entered politics, and the US political system slowly fell apart.

Conversely, in England, Prime Minister Thatcher determined that there was “No such thing as society”, and their country also began to fall apart. Thus began the days of the two-income family. A decline in marriage with more divorces, bigger houses, and empty hearts. And a proliferation of kids with single parents. Ask any state schoolteacher, and they might suggest that around 70% of their pupils come from single parents.

Poverty has increased worldwide to the extent it is today, yet those of a conservative ilk insist they have done nothing wrong; “American exceptionalism still exists“. Later, an era of Trumpism developed when the masses became manipulated to the point where one wondered if they were ever educated.

Yet he hopes to overcome many lawsuits and have another crack at the presidency. His lies and hatred for those who desire equal opportunity and fairness know no bounds. He is manifestly the most incredible narcissist in the world of politics.

Because they mistakenly believed in their own righteousness,” Churches have manipulated people into believing love and morality are exclusively religious. 

They never allowed their own immorality to stymie their self-righteousness. Added to this, the manipulation of minors by some men of the cloth was exposed, and the whole world turned against them.

Sometimes, it is good to stop, think, evaluate and formulate one’s own opinion instead of being manipulated by the media and other vested interests.

We have become obsessed with celebrities and the media, who – with the help of the media – manipulate us into believing that people of little virtue, talent or character are somehow important. More often than not, they have acquired notoriety through wealth or influence.

The battle for wealth, whether corporate or individual, has intensified and divided us into sections: those with and those without.

We have been manipulated into competitive living (making money for money’s sake) while, at the same time, we have forgotten how to laugh or even volunteer. Now, what was the name of that family across the road? We need to comprehend the difference between manners and civility. 

Well, our kids don’t. Narcissism is rife, and men are particularly prone to it.

Enormous advances have been made in medicine, and future discoveries will increase enormously. Artificial intelligence has arrived on many fronts. They will further change a world now stressed out with advances in technology.

More drugs are available for many illnesses, but the large drug companies manipulate who gets them and the price paid. The vaccines for the COVID-19 pandemic are a case in point. A vaccine was found in record time, but the wealthiest nations were the most advantaged

Acquiring a wage has become a necessary function of survival or at least having a reasonable standard of living.

There is much less wellness. Mental illness, at last, has been recognised. Still, men have succumbed to domestic violence, where men manipulating women has become a pastime, resulting in at least one death each week in Australia. 

Record amounts of money are thrown at the problems, but no evidence of success results.

Australian Aborigines are a case in point. The voters were so manipulated at the recent referendum that they were confused between right and wrong or didn’t know the difference.

“If you don’t know, vote no.” (Seriously.)

The right of politics manipulates women to maintain a perceived physical, academic, corporate and sexual dominance. History records their manipulation and the ongoing incompetence of extremist right-wing Government. Those of Howard, Abbott, Dutton and Morrison. In Australia, we have experienced the extremities of these men, their ignorance and corruption, to the point that their parties should not be allowed to stand in the next election in their current form.

People may live longer but, in my observation, are less happy, and the incidence of mental health has become a social problem. 

We mumble a lot without saying much, we seldom love meaningfully, and the joy of sex has degenerated into casual opportunism where women are manipulated.

It is a time of enormous profits, little leadership, shallow thinking and superficial relationships. It is a time in which technology is making extraordinary advances, but our intellectual reasoning seems only able to appreciate its capacity for good with the word ‘profit’ attached. 

We are conquering outer space and diseases yet polluting our environment and souls. We have been so foolish as to allow ourselves to be manipulated by the fools who, once proven wrong, repeat the dose at every opportunity.

We allow ourselves to be manipulated by exaggerated, flamboyant rhetoric designed to heighten a sense of alarm or simply gain our attention. Think Andrew Bolt, for example.

The First Nations referendum was another example of this nefarious manipulation of our democracy. The uneducated on this crucial matter was exploited with propaganda to vote no, and its unfairness was wrong, but the conservatives say it’s just politics. They always do.

Unscrupulous people manipulate our social behaviour, and the young fall victim to the persuasive influence of debilitative drugs.

We know beyond doubt that climate change has surpassed all predictions, yet few countries remain concerned. Gloom is upon us because they lust for power and wealth.

And the purity of our playtime, our sport, has been manipulated by the corrosive effect of gambling money and drugs.

And the cheats, in turn, manipulate us with their lies.

Because of the rise of far-right Neoconservatism, I am currently reviewing my thoughts on the future.

My thought for the day

We dislike and resist change in the foolish assumption that we can make permanent anything that makes us feel secure. Yet change is, in fact, part of the very fabric of our existence.

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NSW Budget Perspectives: All-Set for More Bipartisan Future Fine-Tuning Options?

By Denis Bright  

After more than a decade in Opposition, NSW Labor is striving to deliver an inspirational Budget for the Many.

Treasurer Daniel Mookhey’s budget presentation has been well received by ABC News coverage (19 September 2023) for its cautious and responsible priorities. In the absence of recent state polling data in NSW, Labor should be satisfied with its Federal Newspoll results in NSW with a 56-44 divide in that state. This might assist in marginal state seats like East Hills, Upper Hunter and Penrith which are all held by the LNP by less than a one per cent margin after preferences. Labor needs to win these seats in the future to achieve majority government after a decisive 6.3 per cent swing to Labor after preferences on 25 March 2023 which gave Chris Minns the Premier’s job.

The NSW state budget is projected to be in surplus 2023-24 if the growth in the revenue base continues from land taxes, payroll taxes, property transfers and coal royalties. The stars have aligned well for the change agenda in NSW before the economy slows in the mid-2020s across Australia.

The short-term revenue windfall extends beyond debt reduction. There are popular initiatives in affordable housing, alternative energy projects, rental assistance and support for Western Syndey.

Unfortunately, higher coal royalties of $2.7 billion will not commence until 1 July 2024. Royalties have not been increased since 2009.

The budget brought a spending cut of $188 million in NSW film and television productions. This was a token saving in a total budget with a projected outlay of $120.23 billion for 2023-24. This token saving helped to achieve a slight reduction of $101 million in accumulated debt of $26.28 billion inherited largely from the LNP years.  

The address in reply (21 September 2023) from Opposition Leader Mark Speakman SC MP (Cronulla) can also be perused by readers.

The state LNP’s concerns about Union Mates of State Labor, is not backed up by a healthy state of trade union membership or impending militancy in the workforce which can expect a significant rise in unemployment during the first term of the Minns Government.

Mark Speakman criticized pending wage agreements in his address in reply speech by insisting that pay increases should be moderated by productivity criteria over cost-of-living adjustments. This would not be a popular initiative by voters who are paying higher rents and mortgages.

A commitment to bipartisanship in handling burgeoning debt problems in NSW and a positive feature of Mark Speakman’s address-in-reply.

Both sides of NSW politics should be addressing the consequences of a slowing economy and its future impact on capital works programmes after the euphoria from the current short-term revenue windfalls tapers off during the mid-2020s. Projected capital expenditure of $19.92 billion in 2026-27 compares with current record levels of $22.23 billion in 2023-24 as summarized in the budget papers.

The new government will temporarily terminate revenue transfers to support the NSW Generations Fund. It will review options for the other key NSW investment funds.

The Media office at NSW Treasury Corporation (TCorp) did not want to speculate about alternatives to the decline in capital works spending in the forward estimates. As an executive arm of government, this response is quite appropriate. Perhaps senior officers at TCorp are appropriately working on these problems behind the scenes.

The current budget papers estimate that funds under management from TCorp amounted to $106 billion on 30 June 2023, including $2 billion in sustainability bonds.

T Corp has a list of its extensive bond offerings which have been updated to 30 September 2023. These bonds are available to institutional investors both within Australia and overseas.

Financial commentators as well should indeed be thinking ahead of the showdown in capital works expenditure in the forward estimates.

With Labor now in control of the national government and all mainland states and territories, it is time for inspirational commitment to the policy essentials in housing, infrastructure and community development.

Capital investment flows cleared on security grounds by appropriate national authority like Treasury or the Reserve Bank might be possible might be a source of new capital equity. This is a good opportunity for Premier Minns and Treasurer Daniel Mookhey to inspire the nation in the traditions of Premier Sir William McKell and other great Labor luminaries in NSW politics. 

Infrastructure and Community Development strategies need to be steered away from the pork-barrelling strategies of the recently defeated LNP Governments in NSW.

Successful and ethical methods of new investment are a feature of many of our best Australian corporations. Perusal of the latest annual report from the Woolworth’s Group for 2023 offers investors access annual revenue base that is half the value of expenditure by the government of NSW.

Just 92 shareholders in the Woolworth’s Group control 62.93 per cent of all issued capital and dwarf the humble shareholdings of almost 250,000 shareholders who own 6.75 per cent of issued capital.

The Woolworth’s Annual Report is quite open about its major shareholders. (There is also a category for Substantial shareholders in the 2023 Annual Report.)

Some investors from the Top of Town might also be attracted to well credentialled public sector investment and sovereign wealth funds. There could be good returns for investors in delivering better port facilities, transport-oriented development centres of housing, shops and offices, refilling stations for electric vehicles and alternative energy programmes to name a few revenue earning prospects.

Currently, Australian public sector funds reply on bond offerings, investment from internal government reserves and state managed superannuation funds through co-investment processes.

Some exemplars include Temasek Holdings and GIC in Singapore, the Canadian Pension Fund, the Canadian Infrastructure Bank and in Australia the Clean Energy Finance Corporation (CEFC) and Biomedical Translation Fund (BTF).

The previous NSW LNP was so desperate for investment that it dipped into government coffers for new investment in the NSW Generations Fund. These irregularities have been temporarily terminated by the Minns Government but may have to return in the mid-2020s when capital works spending slows unless alternative sources of investment are considered.

Peter Hannam of The Guardian (21 October 2021) gave a critical take on public sector investment in the NSW Generations Fund using taxation revenue. At that time, NSW’s ballooning debt is on track to reach $171 billion by 2025.

With better safeguards in place, Labor governments at state and federal levels, should be able to do much better.

The Queensland Investment Fund (QIC) has profitable outcomes from the investment of government and state superannuation reserves. It is not geared up to accept capital equity from the private sector like most public sector investment funds across Australia.

Despite these limitations, QIC acquired Castle Towers in Sydney in 1998. It has invested $1 billion in the project and just lodged a development application for a $560 million precinct known as The Village with three levels of retail, a 200-room hotel and a 12-storey office tower. As an investment fund QIC focuses primarily on investment returns for the Queensland government. Social and environmental criteria are an optional extra but usually receive careful consideration.

In the far-off USA, QIC has fifty-year leases over the management of university car parking facilities at Northeastern University in Boston and Ohio State University in Colombus. The combined investment at these two sites approaches $1.5 billion and involves competition with top of the town firms like BlackRock and Morgan Stanley who are both key investors in the Woolworth’s Group closer to home.

Serving the needs of university students in the USA provides an indicator of just what can be achieved for the benefit of residents on the home front back in Australia as dividends accrue. Too much freedom to overseas corporate investors in Australia can produce negative outcomes as profits drift back to overseas headquarters or exotic tax havens.       

Under the free trade and investment arrangements between Australia and the USA which were negotiated by the Howard Government twenty years ago, there seem to be embedded opportunities for tax avoidance which contributes to the public debt problems faced by Australian governments. Hopefully, ABC News will assist readers by sharing the no taxation payment list of these corporate giants later this year when taxation returns are available for 2022-23 in the first full year of the Albanese Government.

Although sections of the mainstream press generally applaud the economic management skills of LNP governments and neoliberal governments at all three levels, the real evidence of this expertise is difficult to find in NSW Government investment priorities during the LNP years or with federal LNP government projects like the Inland Railway.

The federal LNP’s Inland Railway still lacks a starting point and terminus although construction has been underway since 2018. Its estimated cost has doubled to $31.4 billion.

Labor needs to take initiative to reclaim its heartland base in outer metro and regional areas. Revitalizing infrastructure is a real opportunity for voters in NSW and Beyond.

Voters will warm to the policies of dedicated governments that are delivering for them by welcoming the resources from the bid end of town in hedge-fund commitments to public sector investment and sovereign wealth funds.

 

Denis Bright (pictured) is a financial member of the Media, Entertainment and Arts Alliance (MEAA). Denis is committed to consensus-building in these difficult times. Your feedback from readers advances the cause of citizens’ journalism. Full names are not required when making comments. However, a valid email must be submitted if you decide to hit the Replies Button.

 

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We’ve all heard it: “I’m not a racist, but … “

I must begin by congratulating Murdoch’s news media and the Australian Conservative political parties for their successful long-term character assassination of those who are different. Meaning First Nations people.

Whilst I am primarily concerned with racism, it is essential to acknowledge that several factors influenced the referendum result.

The first and most vital was the lack of bipartisanship. We can now conclude that no matter how beneficial, referendums won’t pass without it from now on. This includes any move to become a republic.

Secondly, lying, misinformation, and deception are legitimate propaganda tools that create a smokescreen that people cannot see.

Thirdly, ignorance was a substantial contributor to the NO vote. Many no voters, particularly new citizens, knew very little of Aboriginal history or their aspirations. Let alone our Constitution.

The new chairman of Newscorp, Lachlan Murdoch, will, no doubt, through all his media outlets, convince the masses that they did the right thing in voting NO. He won’t tell them how many lies, lies by omission or other deceptions were used to convince even good people that a NO vote was best for the country.

Of course, a percentage of people voted No with good intentions. Others voted No to uphold their conservative viewpoint. They would be older folk with a dislike for change. Others voted negatively because they were adherents of Peter Dutton and his negativity. Yet others voted NO because they were racists and wanted Aboriginals to “know their place” in Australian society.

They had grown up with it through their fathers or the influence of other ignorant people. Yet others voted NO, utterly unaware of what the referendum was all about.

My favourite word is ‘observation’ because it covers a multitude of experiences. With minimal formal education, observation became integral to my private classroom. When I was about 13-14, I became a keen observer. Nothing escaped my scrutiny or sensory surveillance. I watched people, nature and life in general. I carefully examined and evaluated it. It was a habit that never left me.

One such observation was a long weekend when I was watching my grandsons playing basketball. One of the boys in the team was from Somalia. Several families with African heritage have moved to our area. I observed the mateship of their winning endeavours and the generous enthusiasm of their play. 

The fun, friendship and frivolity of their connectedness was a delight. The dark lad was of enormous talent with a generous smile, a face as black as night and a gregarious nature.

I also observed the total unabashed acceptance by children of different races at school and at the local swimming pool, where mature judgement was made by children unhindered by the prejudicial ignorance of adults.

My thoughts often drifted to my youth, and I wondered what causes people to be racist. As a small boy, I recalled being told what side of the street to walk to school because Jews lived on the other side.

I lived through the post-war era of the immigration period when Australians belittled and sneered at Italians and Greeks.

Then, later, with a bi-partisan agreement, we accepted the Vietnamese who came by boat. But not before debasing them with the worst part of our uniquely Australian prejudice and profanity.

Memories whilst a young man came back to me of a pub where I used to have a couple of drinks on my way home from work. The beer garden attracted a cohort of Aussie builders who subcontracted concreting work to a group of Italians. I would observe how the Aussie fellows would run them down with the foulest of language behind their backs and then drink with them without a hint of condemnation when they arrived.

There was a time when a relation travelling by caravan around Australia rang me from some remote area highly populated by Indigenous people. After the usual greeting, the following words were advanced.

“I’m not a racist, but … “. I had learned by my observation that when you hear someone say those words, they generally are. A tirade of critical comments followed about every aspect of Aboriginal culture and living standards. 

I have no doubt that much of what she told me was true. However, every situation could be replicated in white city society. I could have taken her to a suburb where this is aptly demonstrated. And, of course, we are at the top of the world in domestic violence.

Her comments were, therefore, racist. The singling out of any group due to drawing attention to colour is racist and thus abhorrent to me.

More recently, I have experienced racism where I live. Regarding Indigenous folk, I have two neighbours who, in conversation, described Aboriginals as taking up too much space.

At a junior football final a few years ago, a teenage boy stood behind me, verbalising a young Aboriginal player of immense talent. I allowed the insults to insinuate themselves into the minds around me before I had had enough. 

The Aboriginal boy had heard the remarks and was obviously distressed. I turned and said to the boy of uncouth mouth: “So yours is what a racist’s face looks like.”

The teenager slunk away, probably not used to having his racism confronted. In the unnatural silence that invaded the group where I was standing, I received a couple of congratulatory slaps on the shoulder.

I hate all forms of racism in a way that even someone like me, who loves to mould words as disciples for good, could not find the ones to use as a rebuttal. I intrepidly did what I did because I am getting on in years, and a bit of bravado seems to come with it, and everyone is obliged to confront it. 

In watching the antics of children of different races in their play, we can witness the absence of race as an issue. It is the adults who are the abusers of decency. 

Some cannot concede that we were all black once. And some believe that superiority is determined by a chemical compound. They are the racists.

Children celebrate differences and prove that racism is not a part of the human condition. It is taught or acquired. You have to learn it; those who tutor and preach it are to be pitied for their ignorance and imbecility. No one is born a racist, but we are born into racist societies.

I have had many other experiences of racism. It stems from ignorance and runs through families because they harbour confined hatred that occasionally erupts with disastrous consequences.

How much of it flared during this referendum is unknown, but we can safely assume that a high percentage of the aged vote believed that our Indigenous folk have been receiving too much for too long. 

They, of course, never stopped to think that it was white people who devised how it was spent, not them.

My thought for the day

The wisest people I know are the ones who apply reason and logic and leave room for doubt. The most unwise are the fools and fanatics who don’t.

 

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A Losing Voice: The Fall of an Indigenous Referendum Measure

Even before October 14, The Voice, or, to describe in full, the Referendum on the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Voice to Parliament, was in dire straits. Referenda proposals are rarely successful in Australia: prior to October 14, 44 referenda had been conducted since the creation of the Commonwealth in 1901. Only eight had passed.

On this occasion, the measure, which had been an article of faith for Labor Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, hinged on whether an advisory body purportedly expert and informed on the interests and affairs of the First Nations Peoples would be constitutionally enshrined. The body was always intended as a modest power: to advise Parliament on policies and legislative instruments directly of concern to them. But details on who would make up such a body, nor how it could actually achieve such Olympian aims as abolishing indigence in remote indigenous communities or reducing the horrendous incarceration rate among its citizenry, were deemed inconsequential. The near cocky assumption of the Yes case was that the measure should pass, leaving Parliament to sort out the rest.

In the early evening, it became clear that the Yes vote was failing in every state, including Victoria, where campaigners felt almost complacently confident. But it was bound to, with Yes campaigners failing to convince undecided voters even as they rejoiced in preaching to their own faithful. The loss occurred largely because of two marshalled forces ideologically opposite yet united in purpose. They exploited a fundamental, and fatal contradiction in the proposal: the measure was advertised as “substantive” in terms of constitutional reform while simultaneously being conservative in giving Parliament a free hand.

From one side, the conservative “Australia as egalitarian” view took the position that creating a forum or chamber based on race would be repugnant to a country blissfully steeped in tolerance and colour-blindness. Much of that is nonsense, ignoring the British Empire’s thick historical links with race, eugenics and policies that, certainly in the Australian context, would have to be judged as genocidal. Even the current Australian Constitution retains what can only be called a race power: section 51(xxvi) which stipulates that Parliament may make laws regarding “the people of any race for whom it is deemed necessary to make special laws.”

Beneath the epidermis of such a view is also an assumption held by such Indigenous conservatives as Warren Mundine that there have been more than a fair share of “voices” and channels to scream through over several decades, be it through committees or such bodies as the disbanded Aboriginal and Torres Strait Island Commission. The plethora of these measures did not address inequality, did not improve health and educational outcomes directly, and merely served to create a managerial class of lobbyists and activists. To merely enshrine an advisory body in the Constitution would only serve to make such an entity harder to abolish in the event it failed to achieve its set purposes.

Campaigners for the Voice will shake their heads and chide those who voted against the measure as backward reprobates who fell for a gross disinformation campaign waged by No campaigners. They were the ones who, like worshippers having filled the church till, could go about morally soothed proclaiming they had done their duty for the indigenous and downtrodden. Given that the No vote was overwhelming (59%), the dis- and mis-information angle is a feeble one.

It is true to say that the No campaign was beset by a range of concerns, some of them ingenuous, some distinctly not. There was the concern that, while the advice from Voice members on government legislation and policy would be non-binding on Parliamentarians, this would still lead to court challenges that would tie up legislation. Or that this was merely the prelude to a broader tarnishing of the Australian brand of exceptionalism: first, comes the Voice, then the Treaty process, then the “truth telling” to be divulged over national reconciliation processes. 

The first of these was always unlikely to carry much weight. Even if any parliamentary decision to ignore advice from the Voice would ever go to court, it would never survive the holy supremacy of Parliament in the Westminster model of government. What Parliament says in the Anglo-Australian orbit of constitutional doctrine tends to be near unquestionable writ. No court would ever say otherwise.

The second concern was probably more on point, insofar as the Voice would act as a spur in the constitutional system, one to build upon in the broader journey of reconciliation. But the No casers here, with former Australian foreign minister Alexander Downer being fairly typical of this, regard matters such as treaty and truth-telling commissions as divisive and best scotched. “The most destructive feature of failed societies is that they are divided on the basis of ethnicity, race or religion,” he wrote this month (paywalled). For Downer and his ilk, Australia remains a pleasant land – not exactly verdant, but pleasant nonetheless – where Jerusalem was built; don’t let any uppity First Nations advocate tell you otherwise.

The procedurally minded and pragmatic sort – which count themselves amongst the majority of Australian voters, were always concerned about how the advisory body would be constituted. Any new creature born from political initiative will always risk falling into the clutches of political intriguers in the government of the day, vulnerable to the puppeteering of the establishment. In Australian elections, where pragmatism is elevated to the level of a questioning, punishing God, the question of the “how” soon leads to the question of “how much”. The Voice would ultimately have to face the invoice. 

Another, equally persuasive criticism of the Voice came from what might be loosely described as the Black Sovereignty movement, led by such representatives as independent Senator Lidia Thorpe. From that perspective, the Voice is only a ceremonial sham, a bauble, tinsel cover that, while finding form in the Constitution, would have meant little. “This referendum, portrayed by the government as the solution to bringing justice to First Peoples in this country,” she opines, “has instead divided and hurt us.” 

Precisely because it would not bind elected members, it had no powers to compel the members of parliament to necessarily follow their guidance. “The supremacy of the colonial parliament over ‘our Voice’,” Thorpe goes on to stress, “is a continuation of the oppression of our people, and the writing of our people into the colonial Constitution is another step in their ongoing attempt to assimilate us.” This would make the body a pantomime of policy making, with its membership respectfully listened to even if they could be ultimately ignored. Impotence, and the effective extinguishment of indigenous sovereignty, would be affirmed.

Among some undecided voters lay an agonising prospect, notably for those who felt that this was yet another measure that, while well-meant in spirit, was yet another on the potted road of failures. The indigenous activist Celeste Liddle represents an aspect of such a view, one of dissatisfaction, stung by broken promises. Her view is one of morose, inconsolable scepticism. “I’m at a time in my life,” she writes in Arena, “where I have seen a lot of promises, a lot of lies, a lot of attacks on Indigenous communities, and not a lot of change. I therefore lack faith in the current political system and its ability to ever be that agent of change.” That’s an almost dead certifiable “No”, then.

The sinking of the Yes measure need not kill off the program for improving and ameliorating the condition of First Nations people in Australia. But for those seeking a triumphant Yes vote, the lesson was always threatening: no measure will ever pass the hurdle of the double majority in a majority of states if it does not have near uniform approval from the outset. It never has.

 

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What did the NO vote actually achieve?

Today, we know the result of this referendum that has hung over us for what seems an eternity.

According to the polls and the media (notably News Corp), the “NO” campaign has won. Both sides exhausted their arguments with words that either spoke the truth, half-truths, or full-on lies – or repeated the exact same words for months.

It was a simple referendum that, if won, would have seen First Nations people take their rightful place in our society, recorded in our constitution. A proposition not at all unreasonable.

Secondly was a proposal to give a voice to these people who once needed no such thing. A voice recommending things to the Australian Parliament that might improve their lives, their health, their education and their longevity. Doing whatever they requested their way instead of the white man’s. However, the Parliament, if desired, could refuse any such request.

It was to be a voice that might make them as equal to us than they are now. But asking for that from conservatives with a superiority complex and a “born-to-rule” attitude was a bridge too far.

The proposal’s details were relatively simple and easy to understand until the warriors of relentless negativity with no motive other than to destroy an idea entered the fray.

Understanding why the conservative parties would want to waste this opportunity for the Indigenous people of this nation to advance themselves takes a bit of insight. First, one must look at the character of those who championed a conservative ‘No’ vote. From John Howard Tony Abbott to Peter Dutton, the forces of conservatism grew to oppose this referendum in the knowledge that their opposition would destroy it. Only parties without conscience, empathy and empty hearts would do such a thing.

The National Party, led by David Littleproud without much introspection or conscience, showed their true colours by opposing it before the questions were even known. He looked cowardly in the face of such uninformed thinking.

Peter Dutton, the negatively inclined Leader of the Opposition, opposed the referendum because it is what conservatives do. Afraid of change unless it profits. Is he a racist? I don’t know, but a glance at his history might illuminate.

There was never anything in it politically for him. It has yet to show him as an informed leader with a touch of sageness. On the contrary, this hostile victory has portrayed him as just one of those awful right-wing leaders from the darkened world of Trump.

His decision to oppose won’t win the teal seats back from the independent members of Parliament, far from it. He will only enhance his reputation as another in the Abbott mould – another spoiler. Being constantly pessimistic in a changing world will not convince the undecided, young, or disengaged voters who want change. It is not a strategy for winning the next election.

Joining the YES campaign could have changed his public image, had he taken a bi-partisan approach.

Aboriginal leaders Warren Mundine and Jacinta Yangapi Nampijinpa Price supported a NO vote because they wanted more than a voice. However, Mundine was so difficult to understand at times that I needed help comprehending his confusion. They wanted political power to go with a treaty designed by them.

They have both experienced success in life and may not want others to have the privileges that go with it.

Contradicting that, however, is that the LNP want Indigenous people to know their place in society. Equality is a word they would dare not use.

Two weeks ago, it became apparent that Dutton and Albanese were beginning to position themselves for a post-referendum period when both parties would require different words to explain a NO victory.

Why did the YES vote lose so miserably after 15 years of negotiation, endless meetings, goodwill, and good ideas? Let’s start with a known fact: Referendums have always been historically difficult to win, especially without consensus.

The Voice could have succeeded with Peter Dutton’s and his party’s support, but if politics is about ideas, he is totally against them. Like myself, those on the YES side will see it as an opportunity missed.

We will feel cheated that the voices of Dutton, Price and Mundine convinced most of the population that 1.4% of our people should be subjected to no improvement in their living standards while we want more. I feel ashamed that we cannot admit to the Aboriginal’s unique standing among us.

Of course, with truthfulness, we will feel aggrieved and, in part, blame the News Corp’s “no news” saturation and their dedication to conservative values. Some of us will feel guilty for not doing more. Others will wonder about the tools of propaganda and its success at conning the people. Scare campaigns still work as efficiently as not saying how you would approach the problem.

Those on the right will display their self-righteousness, telling the Prime Minister and our First Nations people it was the NO who were right all along and that the Prime Minister should get another job because he lacks judgment.

Now, having recorded a telling victory, Price will, in her high-handed way, demand that negotiations begin immediately for a treaty. She is probably not interested in any truth-telling. They will tell Albanese and his Government that the money would have been better spent on matches rather than wasting it on a proposal without any information about how it would work.

The Government will be less inclined to talk about a Treaty now than if the YES vote had won. That’s human nature. This means that we can forget the past few months’ events and the goodwill of our Aboriginal peoples. The status quo will remain in place for some time now, and Dutton, Mundine and Price should take the blame. Our First Nations peoples will justifiably feel angry and vent their spleen. Albanese may talk about alternatives, but there are none on the table.

However, history shows no Government has ever lost an election after losing a referendum. (“If you don’t know, vote no”) was a message calculated to turn off lazy minds who might be bothered to find out, and, in the course of it being too hard, that’s what they did?

For his part, Peter Dutton is still acting as a leader left over from ten years of less-than-mediocre governance. A group of right-wing wankers that showed a liking for corruption and wrongdoing. Opposition, for opposition’s sake, is a useless compass when seeking the highest office.

He is fast becoming Australia’s Donald Trump. Full of the same kind of bullshit. His exaggerated style speaks from the lowest podium about things of monumental importance. He offers nothing other than his self-importance, which may be necessary to him, but in terms of the nation, it is nothing more than weaponised mendacity.

The failure of the YES VOTE will flatten the many fine people, not just First Nations people, who thought they might add a bit of history to the already 65,000 years of existence. They have taught us a patience that ever lingers, talking to the light of day and the spirits of the blackest nights.

Last but not least, l believe Peter Dutton has circumvented any chance of us becoming a republic soon.

My thought for the day

A leader with any character would slap down members of his shadow cabinet who roam the road of racism with all the force of a heavy roller. Dutton, however, is joined at the hip.

 

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We All Like Democracy Until The Voters Get It Wrong!

I’m currently out of the country so I’m only catching up on the greatest disaster in the history of Australia. Apparently cancelling a contract is the sort of thing that can do world-wide damage to our country’s reputation.

No, I’m not talking about Scott Morrison’s decision to cancel the subs deal with France. That was fine. No, I’m talking about Dan Andrews cancelling of the Commonwealth Games which has apparently sent shock waves everywhere including countries who aren’t in the Commonwealth and can only watch with the sort of envy that makes them wonder why any country would demand their independence from Britain when we have such wonderful side benefits as our own games. Something that rivals US baseball’s World Series which only includes American teams.

Speaking personally, it did strike me as strange that most of the criticism was about the cancellation rather than the original decision to bid for them. Particularly as it came from the same quarters who’ve been complaining about the Victorian government’s spending and debt. As I see it this is like me putting down a deposit on a Maserati only to discover that this didn’t lock in the price and that, while I could sell my house and close the deal, I’d be homeless and unable to afford the upkeep of the car. By all means, attack me for being silly enough to put down the deposit but surely you shouldn’t be telling me that withdrawing from the sale was a foolish thing that’ll ruin my credit rating.

Anyway, I’ve been keeping up with what’s happening in my home state via the media which seems to only be able to find people critical of the decision. Even the good old ABC is only balancing the people who are highly critical of this decision with people who are highly critical of everything that Dan Andrews has ever done.

Phil “Gladys Saved The Nation” Coorey wasn’t content to rebuke Andrews, but suggested that Victorian voters were fools and insisted that Dan had gaslighted Victorians just like he did with the pandemic when he dared to adopt a different strategy from Phil’s “let her rip” heroes of Scotty and Gladys. Ok, in real terms neither of them were ever prepared to totally let it rip, but it always struck me as odd that the same people who were advocating no lockdowns were also hypercritical of Andrews for the virus escaping hotel quarantine.

Sure. People have a right to criticise Andrews but to suggest that anyone who disagrees with him is somehow mentally defective seems a trifle arrogant. Like I always say I don’t expect everyone to agree with me all the time but when they start disagreeing with themselves in the space of one opinion piece it’s a worry. Like when people who are complaining about laws against misinformation are censorship and an outrage, only to turn around and demand that Big W stop selling a book because they think it should be banned.

When they do it in the space of one post on Twitter, it’s an even bigger concern…

Without naming the person and leading to a possible pile-on, there is one person who keeps popping up in my Twitter feed and I’m trying to work out why unless it’s part of Elon Musk’s cunning plan to drive all the woke people off Twitter. Said person has been railing against the Labor government calling them communists, socialists and evil people who are dividing the country. Albanese is even worse than Whitlam who destroyed the country. Included in her tweets was:

“We are all aware on Tweeter (sic) that not everyone agrees with our views. But there are people who are also mentally unstable and have their own agendas to challenge anything to create a situation”

Which would be fine. Everyone’s got a right to an opinion, etc. However, today this person posted the following:

“The abuse that is levelled at people who are against the “voice” is sadly indicative of the intolerance towards people who have a different opinion. It’s the most divisive issue that we have ever seen.”

So, it’s all right to suggest that some of the people challenging you are “mentally unstable” but just make one or two little comments like “this will give the Indigenous population “the power to challenge any decision or legislation of the government of the day”, and people start suggesting that you might be racist because you seem to be ignoring that the status quo is that anyone can already do that, so why should we be concerned that a Voice with no veto powers could do what everyone can already do… Ok, people may not get very far, and the Voice may get a bit more media coverage if they suggest that what the government it doing lacks input from the people most affected, but the point remains.

Anyway, I’m sure that I could spend several useless months picking up all the inconsistencies of people and talk at length how confirmation bias means that two people can look at the same by-election and conclude that Fadden was a poor result for Dutton because he only got something like the expected swing in spite of spending ten times more than Labor, while someone else may look at it and think that it was a great result for Peter because he received more first preferences than the percentage of people who have him as preferred PM…

Whatever, I recommend taking a stoic path and deciding that you can’t do anything about the inconsistency of others, so you’re best to control your own. It might be wise occasionally to take a step back and say, “How would I feel if the other side did this? Would I justify it? Would I say no big deal? Or would I be demanding that King Charles break with protocols and declare martial law until a government who understands the meaning of integrity is returned, no matter how many elections that takes.”

As I mentioned at the start, I’m out of the country but we did receive our energy bill while away making us wonder if it would be cheaper to extend our holiday indefinitely even if it meant moving to a five-star hotel. I do remember sometime last century, Jeff Kennett privatising everything he could manage in order to make it all more efficient and cheaper. Imagine how expensive it would be if it were still in public hands…

 

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